capbudgetcapstructure pm
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Capital Budgeting and
Capital Structure
Financial Management 6301
Dr. Carolyn Reichert
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Company Cost of Capital
Firm value = sum of the value of the assets
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Opportunity cost of capital for existing assets
Use: value new assets with the same risk as the old ones
r WACC = r portfolio = (B/V)r B + (S/V)r S
V = B + S where V, B and S are all market values
r S = r f + ßS(r m - r f )
r S = r o + [(B/S)(r o - r B )]
Exclude taxes for now (so tax rate = 0)
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Asset betaBeta of a portfolio of all of the firm’s debt &
equity
Relationship between asset and equity betas
ßASSET = ßWACC = (B/V)ßB+(S/V)ßS
• Where V = B + S
• V, B and S are all market values
Can rearrange to get βS = βo + [(B/S)(βo - βB )] No tax adjustment
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No-Tax Cost of Capital
Unlevered Cost of Capital r o:
Expected return investors want from a project if
it was all-equity financed
No tax world (M&M): r o = r WACC
Unlevered cost of capital and asset beta are
the same for the levered and unlevered firm.
Affected only by business risk
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Cost of Capital ImplicationsYou can lever and unlever the WACC.
Return on equity and equity beta are
different for the levered and unlevered firm.
Affected by financial risk.
Firms with more debt have higher equity betas
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Cost of Capital Example
Coyote Corporation has a value of $200M. Debthas a market value of $50M and a return of 6%.Equity has a beta of .75. The risk-free return is3% and the market risk premium is 9%.
Find the original weighted average cost of capital.
If they issue $50M to re-buy equity, find the new
return on equity. The return on debt does notchange
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Regression Information
Intercept (Jensen’s Alpha)
Simple measure of performance
If α > r f (1-ß), stock did better than expected
If α = r f (1-ß), stock did as well as expected
If α < r f (1-ß), stock did worse than expected
R 2 is the proportion of variance that can be
explained by market risk
(1-R 2): proportion of variance that is firm specific
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Measuring Betas
Dell Computer
Slope determined from plotting the
line of best fit.
Price data: Dec 97 - Apr 04
Market return (%)
D e l l r e t ur n ( % )
R 2 = .27
β = 1.61
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Beta Estimation: ProblemsWant predicted beta Assume betas move towards one in the long term
Estimate betas from the bottom up
Use firm characteristics to estimate beta
Sample size may be inadequate Use more sophisticated statistical techniques
Financial leverage & business risk change over time
Estimation error Use Industry betas (more reliable)
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Differences in Published Betas
Use different time periods
Longer: more data but firm changes over time
Shorter: Easily influenced by specific events
Use different return intervals (day, week, month)
Shorter: More data but more noise
Use different adjusting methods Simple adjustment towards one
Adjust using fundamental information about the firm
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Determinants of Asset BetaLook at the business risk
Cyclical firms have higher betas
• Cyclical firms do well in the expansion phase of the
business cycle and poorly in the contraction phase
• Cyclicality is not the same as variability
Consider product type
• Firms with discretionary products have higher betas
Higher operating leverage results in higher betas
• Magnifies the effect of cyclicality on beta
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Division Betas
Use an industry beta to estimate a division's
cost of capital.
A diversified firm's cost of capital does not
measure the risk of any specific division
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Atypical ProjectsIf a similar asset is traded, estimate beta
from past price data or comparable firms
Use accounting earnings
Use bottom-up beta estimation
Use fundamental risk considerations to get a
rough estimate of beta.
Avoid fudge factors
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Accounting Betas
Regress changes in firm (division) earnings
against changes in earnings for the market
Problems
Accounting earnings are smoothed (bias beta)
• Bias up for safe firms and down for risky firms
Influenced by accounting decisions
Few observations for regression (quarterly data)
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Bottom-Up BetasIdentify businesses that comprise the firm or
project
Estimate unlevered betas for other firms in
the same business (comparables)
Weighted average of unlevered betas (use
market values, sales)
Lever the estimate using the debt/equity ratio
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Optimal Capital Budget & Risk
True cost of capital depends on how funds are used
Cost of capital (WACC) is appropriate for projectswith similar risk to the firm’s average risk
Cost of capital rule: Invest if project return > cost of capital
Not average risk: Use CAPM with project beta Account for project risk
CAPM rule: Invest if project return > required return based on the
project’s beta
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Cost of Capital vs. CAPM
Required
return
Project Beta1.0
Company Cost of
Capital (WACC)15
5
0
SML
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WACC vs. CAPM
A project has an IRR of 18%. Knight’s cost of
capital (WACC) is 15%. The project has a beta of
1.2. The risk-free return is 5%; market risk
premium is 10%
Using the company cost of capital (WACC), willthey take the project?
Using the CAPM to determine the required return,
will they take the project?
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WACC vs. CAPM AnswerCOC rule: Accept the project since the IRR
of 18% > cost of capital of 15%.
Using CAPM: r = 5% + (1.2×10%) = 17%
Accept the project since the IRR of 18% >
CAPM of 17%.
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Weighted-average of the cost of funds
Affected by tax savings and the financing decision
Beta relationships become βASSET = βWACC = [(S/V)βS ] + [(B/V)(1-TC)βB]
βS = βo + [(B/S)(1-TC)(βo - βB )]
BCSWACC )r T1(V
B+r
V
S=r −
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Tax Impact on Return and BetaUnlevered firm: Present value of the interest tax shields (PVITS) = 0.
In this case r WACC = r o = r S and βWACC = βo = βS
Levered firm: The business risk of the assets has not changed
Unlevered cost of capital for the assets has not changed
Additional asset (PVITS) generated as a result of thefinancing decisions made by the firm.
Result: Business risk of the assets does notchange. Debt impacts value through tax savings.
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Evaluating Levered Investments
Value is created by good investmentdecisions
Destroy value by poor financing decisions
Financial policy should support businessstrategy
Three Valuation Approaches: Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Adjusted Present Value (APV)
Flow to Equity (FTE)
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General form of the WACC
Weighted-average of the component costs of debt,
preferred stock, retained earnings and common stock
r WACC =
[(E/V)r E ]+[(S/V)r S]+[(B/V)(1-TC)r B]+ [(P/V)r P]
Added term for preferred stock P
Equity split into retained earnings (E) and stock issue (S)
Proportions must add to 1
Not all securities may be used (omit terms)
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Components: Debt and Preferred
Debt:
Find yield to maturity. If it is compounded
semiannually, use effective rate. This is r B
Cost of debt is reduced in the WACC equation
because interest is tax-deductible
Preferred: r P = Dividend divided by the net price
Net price is the price less issue costs
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Component: Retained Earnings
Opportunity cost
Dividend valuation model: r E = (D1/P0) + g
CAPM: r E = r f + [βS(r m - r f )]
Non-dividend paying stocks: P0= Pt/(1+r)t
so r E = [(Pt/P0)(1/t)] -1
r E = bond yield + risk premium
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Component: Issue Common Stock
Constant growth with the net price
r S = (D1/Pnet) + g
Net price is the price less the issue costs
Issue costs are also called flotation costs
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WACC Example: Nook Nook plans a $100 million expansion using
25% debt and 75% common stock issue.
Debt: Bonds with a 12% yield
Stock: Expect dividends of $3.80 next year.
Growth rate is 8%. Current stock price is $40.
Flotation costs are 5% to issue stock.
Tax rate is 40%. Find weighted average cost of capital.
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WACC Answer: Nook
Debt: yield = r B = 12%.
Common:
Flotation costs are another name for issue costs
Net price = 40×(1-.05) = 38
Get r WACC = (.25×12%×(1-.4)) + (.75×18%)
15.3%
08.)05.1(40
80.3r s +
−×=
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Weighted Average Cost of Capital
WACC value
where UCFt is after-tax unlevered cash flow andr WACC is the weighted average cost of capital.
∑∞
= +=
1 )1(t
t
t
WACC r
UCF
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WACC Steps
Steps
Calculate unlevered cash flows
Calculate WACC
Find NPV by discounting cash flows at the WACC
Only appropriate as a discount rate when
Project & Firm: Same systematic business risk
Project & Firm: Same debt capacity
Firm: Target debt to value is relatively stable
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Adjusted Present Value (APV)APV value = base-case NPV + NPV of financing Base-case NPV = project value if use only equity
where UCFt is after-tax unlevered cash flow and r ois the unlevered cost of capital.
effects)ngPV(Financi)1(1 0
++
=∑∞
=t
t
t
r
UCF
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APV Steps
Steps
Calculate unlevered cash flows
Find NPV by discounting cash flows at the unlevered
cost of capital
Adjust for the PV of financing side effects
Only appropriate as a discount rate when Project’s debt level is known over the life of the project
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Financing Side EffectsFinancing Side Effects
Tax deduction for interest
Effects of subsidized financing
Issue costs for new debt and equity
Financial distress costs
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Flows to Equity (FTE)
FTE: PV of cash flows to stockholders inthe levered firm discounted by r S.
Levered Equity value
LCFt is after-tax, after-interest cash flow tolevered equity and r S is return on levered equity.
FTE = Levered Equity Value – Firm’s Investment
=+=
∞
∑L C F
r
t
S
t
t ( )11
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Flows to Equity (FTE) Steps
Find levered cash flows (LCF). LCF is cash flow
to stockholders after interest and taxes are paid.
LCF = Unlevered cash flows – [(1-Tc)× r B×B]
Find cost of levered equity
r S = r o + (B/S)(1-Tc)(r o - r B).
This is affected by business and financial risk
Find value of the LCF discounted at r S.Subtract the amount of cash supplied by the firm
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Example: Levered Project for Cat
A project costs $6 million
EBIT is $1,600,000 every year forever.
Unlevered cost of capital is 16%.
Issue $5,000,000 in debt with interest rate of 10%.
Tax rate is 30%.
With no debt, Cat has a value of 7,000,000.
Debt ratio (debt to value) is 58.8%.
Use WACC, APV and FTE to find the project’svalue.
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Levered Project APV Answer1. Base-case NPV: All-Equity Value
UCF = $1,120,000
NPV = (UCF/r o)- I = (1,120,000/.16) - 6M = 1M
2. Present value of the financing side effect
NPVF = PVITS = TC(r BB)/r B = TCB = .3(5M) =$1.5M
3. Adjusted present value
APV = base-case NPV + NPVF
APV = 1M + 1.5M = $2.5M
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Levered Project WACC Answer
UCF = 1.6M(1-.3) = 1.12M
Get WACC. For cost of equity: use M&M With Tax
r S = 16% + (5M/3.5M)(1-.3)(16%-10%) = 22%
r WACC = (5M/8.5M)(1-.3)(10%) + (3.5M/8.5M)(22%)
r WACC = 13.18%
V =(UCF/ r WACC) – 6M
V =($1.12M/.1318) – 6M = $2,500,000
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Unlevered Cash Flow and Value
UCF = 1.6M(1-.3) = 1.12M
VL = VU + (TC×B) = 7M + (.3×5M) = 8.5M
VL = 8.5M = S + B = S + 5M so S = 3.5M
Notice that
B/VL = 5M/8.5M = 58.8%
VU
= (1.12M/.16) = 7M
Once the project is taken, Cat gets the value of
the remaining cash flows
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Flow-to-Equity Answer #1
1. Find Levered Cash Flows (LCF) LCF = UCF – [(1-TC)× r B×B]
LCF = 1,120,000 – [(1-.3)×.1×5M] = 770,000
OR USE
LCF = (EBIT-r BB)(1-TC)
LCF = (1.6M-(.1×5M))×(1-.3) = 770,000
2. Find cost of levered equity B/S = 5M/3.5M = 1.428 OR USE B/V = .588, so B/S = .588/(1-.588) = .588/.412 = 1.427
r S = r o + (B/S)(1-T)(r o - r B) = 0.16+[1.427(1-.3)(.16-.10)] r S = 22%
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Flow-to-Equity Approach #23.Levered Equity Value = LCF/r S=
$770,000/.22= $3.5M
4.Subtract the cash supplied by the firm.
Invest $6M but borrow $5M, so firmsupplies 6M-5M = $1M
5.FTE value = $3.5M - $1M = $2,500,000
Summary: APV, WACC, & FTE
All three determine value in the presence of debt
financing
APV WACC FTE
Initial
Investment
All All Equity
Portion
Cash Flows UCF UCF LCF
Discount Rates r o r WACC r S
PV of financing Yes No No
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Rule of ThumbUse WACC or FTE if the firm’s target debt-to-
value ratio applies to the project over its life
(constant debt ratio).
WACC: most common method used
FTE: used for firms with extensive leverage
Use APV if the project’s level of debt is known
over the life of the project (constant debt level). APV: Special situations like subsidies and leases
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Non-Perpetual Debt Example
A project costs $6 million
Unlevered after-tax cash flows of $3,120,000 every
year for 3 years.
Unlevered cost of capital is 16%.
Kit issues $5,000,000 in 3-year debt with an interest
rate of 10%.
Tax rate is 30%.
Debt-to-Equity = B/S = 2.10
Use WACC, APV and FTE to find the project’s value.
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APV Non-Perpetual Debt Answer1. Base-case NPV: All-Equity Value
NPV(.16,3120000,3120000,3120000) - $6M =$1,007,175
2. Present value of interest tax shield
Interest Tax Shield = Tc ×r B ×B =.3 ×.1 ×5M = 150,000
PV(.1,3,-150000) = 373,028
3. Adjusted present value
APV = base-case NPV + PVITS
APV = 1,007,175 + 373,028 = $1,380,203
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Levered Project WACC Answer
UCF = 3.12M
Get WACC. Cost of equity: use M&M With Tax
r S = 16% + [2.10×(1-.3)(16%-10%)] = 24.82%
B/S = 2.1 so S/V = .323 and B/V = .677
r WACC
= [(.677)(1-.3)(10%)] + [.323×24.82%] = 12.76%
Value with WACC:
NPV(.1276,3120000,3120000,3120000) - $6M =$1,397,443
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FTE Non-Perpetual Debt1. Find Levered Cash Flows (LCF)
LCF = UCF – [(1-T)× r B×B]
LCF=3,120,000–[(1-.3)×.1×5M]
LCF =2,770,000 in years 1 & 2
LCF = 2,770,000-5,000,000 = (2,230,000) in year 3
Must repay the loan
2. Find cost of levered equity B/S = 2.10
r S = r o + (B/S)(1-T)(r o - r B) = 0.16+[2.10×(1-.3)(.16-.10)] r S = 24.82%
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Flow-to-Equity Approach #2
3. Levered Equity Value NPV(.2482,2770000,2770000,-2230000)
NPV = $2,850,354
4. Subtract the cash supplied by the firm.
Invest $6M but borrow $5M, so firm
supplies 6M-5M = $1M
5. FTE value = $2,850,354 - 1M = $1,850,354