estudio de caso 1

9
ESTUDIO DE CASO 1 CASOS PRESENTADOS, APELADOS Y REVOCADOS EN LOS TRIBUNALES DEL CONDADO DE HAMILTON

Upload: darcy-allen

Post on 09-Nov-2015

12 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

probabilidad

TRANSCRIPT

ESTUDIO DE CASO 1

CASOS PRESENTADOS, APELADOS Y REVOCADOS EN LOS TRIBUNALES DEL CONDADO DE HAMILTON

INFORME A PRESENTAR: Prepare un informe con las calificaciones de los jueces. Incluya tambin un anlisis de la probabilidad de la apelacin y la revocacin de casos en los tres tribunales. Como mnimo, su informe debe incluir lo siguiente:1. La probabilidad de casos que se apelan y revocan en los tres tribunales2. La probabilidad de que se apele un caso, por cada juez 3. La probabilidad de que se revoque un caso, por cada juez 4. La probabilidad de una revocacin dada una apelacin, por cada juez5. Clasifique a los jueces dentro de cada tribunal. Establezca los criterios que utiliz y d las razones de su eleccin

Solucin

1. La probabilidad de casos que se apelan y revocan en los tres tribunales

Tribunal Penal

Tribunal de Familia

Tribunal Civil

2. La probabilidad de que se apele un caso, por cada juez.Juez Tribunal PenalCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de apelar el caso

Ralph Winkler3089886P(a)=88/30890,02848818

Timothy Hogan1954607P(a)=60/19540,03070624

Patrick Dinkelacker1258448P(a)=44/12580,03497615

Thomas Crush337211910P(a)=119/33720,03529063

Arthur Ney, Jr.321912514P(a)=125/32190,03883194

William Morrissey303212122P(a)=121/30320,03990765

William Mathews22649118P(a)=91/22640,04019435

Thomas Nurre30001216P(a)=121/30000,04033333

Ann Marie Tracey314112713P(a)=127/31410,04043298

Robert Kraft31381277P(a)=127/31380,04047164

Richard Niehaus335313716P(a)=137/33530,04085893

John OConnor296912912P(a)=129/29690,04344897

Norbert Nadel295913120P(a)=131/29590,04427171

Fred Cartolano303713712P(a)=137/30370,04511031

Robert Ruehlman320514518P(a)=145/32050,04524181

J. Howard Sundermann9556010P(a)=60/9550,06282723

total439451762199

Juez Tribunalde FamiliaCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de apelar el caso

Ronald Panioto12970323P(a)=32/129700,00246723

Penelope Cunningham272971P(a)=7/27290,00256504

Patrick Dinkelacker6001194P(a)=19/60010,00316614

Deborah Gaines8799489P(a)=48/87990,00545517

total3049910617

Juez Tribunal CivilCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de apelar el caso

Karla Grady525360P(a)=6/52530,0011422

John A. West279742P(a)=4/27970,0014301

Deidra Hair253250P(a)=5/25320,00197472

James Patrick Kenney279861P(a)=6/27980,00214439

Mark Painter223973P(a)=7/22390,0031264

Dennis Helmick7900295P(a)=29/79000,00367089

David Stockdale5371224P(a)=22/53710,00409607

Melba Marsh8219347P(a)=34/82190,00413676

Beth Mattingly2971131P(a)=13/29710,00437563

Nadine Allen7812346P(a)=34/78120,00435228

William Mallory8277389P(a)=38/82770,00459104

Timothy Black7954416P(a)=41/79540,00515464

Jack Rosen77904113P(a)=41/77900,00526316

Joseph Luebbers4698258P(a)=25/46980,00532141

David Davis7736435P(a)=43/77360,00555843

Timothy Hogan2308132P(a)=13/23080,00563258

Albert Mestemaker4975289P(a)=28/49750,00562814

Mark Schweikert5403336P(a)=33/54030,00610772

Leslie Isaiah Gaines52823513P(a)=38/52820,00662628

Mike Allen6149434P(a)=43/61490,00699301

total108464500104

3. La probabilidad de que se revoque un caso, por cada juez.Juez Tribunal PenalCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de revocar el caso

Ralph Winkler3089886P(r)=6/30890,00194238

Timothy Hogan1954607P(r)=7/19540,0035824

Patrick Dinkelacker1258448P(r)=8/12580,0063593

Thomas Crush337211910P(r)=10/33720,0029656

Arthur Ney, Jr.321912514P(r)=14/32190,00434918

William Morrissey303212122P(r)=22/30320,00725594

William Mathews22649118P(r)=18/22640,00795053

Thomas Nurre30001216P(r)=6/30000,002

Ann Marie Tracey314112713P(r)=13/31410,00413881

Robert Kraft31381277P(r)=7/31380,00223072

Richard Niehaus335313716P(r)=16/33530,00477185

John OConnor296912912P(r)=12/29690,00404176

Norbert Nadel295913120P(r)=20/29590,00675904

Fred Cartolano303713712P(r)=12/30370,00395127

Robert Ruehlman320514518P(r)=18/32050,00561622

J. Howard Sundermann9556010P(r)=10/9550,0104712

total439451762199

Juez Tribunalde FamiliaCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de revocar el caso

Ronald Panioto12970323P(r)=3/129700,0002313

Penelope Cunningham272971P(r)=1/27290,00036643

Patrick Dinkelacker6001194P(r)=4/60010,00066656

Deborah Gaines8799489P(r)=9/87990,00102284

total3049910617

Juez Tribunal CivilCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosProbabilidad de revocar el caso

Karla Grady5253600

John A. West279742P(r)=2/27970,00071505

Deidra Hair2532500

James Patrick Kenney279861P(r)=1/27980,0003574

Mark Painter223973P(r)=7/22390,00133988

Dennis Helmick7900295P(r)=5/79000,00063291

David Stockdale5371224P(r)= 4/53710,00074474

Melba Marsh8219347P(r)=7/82190,00085169

Beth Mattingly2971131P(r)=1/29710,00033659

Nadine Allen7812346P(r)=6/78120,00076805

William Mallory8277389P(r)=9/82770,00108735

Timothy Black7954416P(r)=6/79540,00075434

Jack Rosen77904113P(r)=13/77900,00166881

Joseph Luebbers4698258P(r)=8/46980,00170285

David Davis7736435P(r)=5/77360,00064633

Timothy Hogan2308132P(r)=2/23080,00086655

Albert Mestemaker4975289P(r)=9/49750,00180905

Mark Schweikert5403336P(r)=6/54030,00111049

Leslie Isaiah Gaines52823513P(r)=13/52820,00246119

Mike Allen6149434P(r)=4/61490,00065051

total108464500104

4. La probabilidad de una revocacin dada una apelacin, por cada juez.Juez Tribunal PenalCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosLa probabilidad de una revocacin dada una apelacin

Ralph Winkler3089886P(r/a)=0.019/0.02850,0667

Timothy Hogan1954607P(r/a)=0.0036/0.3070,1173

Patrick Dinkelacker1258448P(r/a)=0.064/0.0350,1828

Thomas Crush337211910P(r/a)=0.003/0.03530,0849

Arthur Ney, Jr.321912514P(r/a)=0.0043/0.03880,111

William Morrissey303212122P(r/a)=0.0073/0.03990,1829

William Mathews22649118P(r/a)=0.008/0.04020,199

Thomas Nurre30001216P(r/a)=0.002/0.04030,0496

Ann Marie Tracey314112713P(r/a)=0.0041/0.04040,1014

Robert Kraft31381277P(r/a)=0.0022/0.04050,0543

Richard Niehaus335313716P(r/a)=0.0048/0.04090,1173

John OConnor296912912P(r/a)=0.004/0.04340,0921

Norbert Nadel295913120P(r/a)=0.0068/0.04430,1534

Fred Cartolano303713712P(r/a)=0.004/0.04510,0884

Robert Ruehlman320514518P(r/a)=0.0056/0.04520,1238

J. Howard Sundermann9556010P(r/a)=0.0105/0.06280,1671

total439451762199

Juez Tribunalde FamiliaCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosLa probabilidad de una revocacin dada una apela

Ronald Panioto12970323P(r/a)=0.0002/0.020,0833

Penelope Cunningham272971P(r/a)=0.0004/0.00260,1538

Patrick Dinkelacker6001194P(r/a)=0.0007/0.00320,2187

Deborah Gaines8799489P(r/a)=0.001/0.00550,1818

total3049910617

Juez Tribunal CivilCasos PresentadosCasos ApeladosCasos RevoacdosLa probabilidad de una revocacin dada una apela

Karla Grady5253600

John A. West279742P(r/a)=0.0007/0.00140,5

Deidra Hair2532500

James Patrick Kenney279861P(r/a)=0.0004/0.00210,1904

Mark Painter223973P(r/a)=0.0013/0.00310,4193

Dennis Helmick7900295P(r/a)=0.0006/0.00370,1621

David Stockdale5371224P(r/a)=0.0007/0.00410,1707

Melba Marsh8219347P(r/a)=.0009/0.00410,2195

Beth Mattingly2971131P(r/a)=0.0003/0.00440,0681

Nadine Allen7812346P(r/a)=0.0008/0.00440,1818

William Mallory8277389P(r/a)=0.0011/0.00460,2391

Timothy Black7954416P(r/a)=0.0008/0.00520,1538

Jack Rosen77904113P(r/a)=0.0017/0.00530,3207

Joseph Luebbers4698258P(r/a)=0.0017/0.00530,3207

David Davis7736435P(r/a)=0.0006/0.0560,1071

Timothy Hogan2308132P(r/a)=0.0009/0.00560,1607

Albert Mestemaker4975289P(r/a)=0.0018/0.00560,3214

Mark Schweikert5403336P(r/a)=0.0011/0.00610,1803

Leslie Isaiah Gaines52823513P(r/a)=0.0025/0.00660,3787

Mike Allen6149434P(r/a)=0.0007/0.0070,1

total108464500104

5. Clasifique a los jueces dentro de cada tribunal. Establezca los criterios que utiliz y d las razones de su eleccinSe clasificaron dependiendo del porcentaje o probabilidad de menor a mayor valor, evidenciando el desempeo de cada uno de ellos en determinado tribunal.