gestion proyectos con el metodo del valor ganado

7/25/2019 Gestion Proyectos Con El Metodo Del Valor Ganado

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EVMS

1

Gestin Bsica del Valor GanadoparaGerentes de Programas

Eleanor Haupt

ASC/FMCE


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EVMS

!"#eti$os del Entrenamiento

Comprensin de Conceptos Bsicos

Como e$aluar la E#ecucin

Como gestionar usando Valor Ganado

EVMS =Tiene sentido comn

la gestin de proyectos conEVMS?

EVMS =Tiene sentido comn

la gestin de proyectos conEVMS?

%e"e

&esponder'


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EVMS

(

)uien* )ue* %onde* Cuando and Por +ue,

-.rminos Bsicos del EVMS

Ciclo del Valor Ganado la Gestin de Proectos Planeamiento

E#ecucin

Monitoreo Control

Gestin con los datos del Valor Ganado

Pensamientos de Cierre

&e0erencias Para lecturas adicionales2

34at 3e5ll Co$er666

Caso de Estudio


4/131

EVMS

7

)ui.n* )u.* %nde* Cundo

8Por +u.,


5/131

EVMS

9

34 use EVMS,

%ado'

Presupuesto total de :1;;*;;;

1 meses de es0uer completadas* parciales Cmo lo haces, y Cmo sabes Cmo lo ests

haciendo?

Cun avanzado estas? (64%, 50%, >40%

Vida sin EVMS


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EVMS

=

8Por +u. necesitamosad$ertencias tempranas,

Las correcciones de cursoson mas fciles cuando se

tiene tiempo de hacer

austes pe!ue"os

#Es demasiado tardecuando estas muy cerca

del ice$erg%


7/131

EVMS

?

8Por +ue usar EVMS,

@denti0icacion temprana precisa de tendencias

pro"lemas Cuadro preciso del estatus de Contratos* respecto de'

costo* calendario* tecnica

Bases para la correccion del curso

&espaldo de !"#eti$os Mutuos del Contratista elCliente Acerca el Proecto a los Calendario Costo proectados


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EVMS

>

!hat is"#$?

"#$es la he&&amienta '&ima&ia enla estin de '&oyectos)))

*ue inte&a los 'a&amet&os+

tecnicos, calenda&ios, and costosdel cont&acto)

a -e&ente de .&oyectoes lahe&&amienta '&ima&ia en la ca/a dehe&&amientas del "#$)


9/131

EVMS

8Cul es el proceso,

El contratista esta"lece un Sistema de Control de la Gestin' Puede ser re+uerido mostrar +ue el sistema rene ( criterios

Se esta"lece un Plan Base @ntegrado El tra"a#o es de0inido* calendari


10/131

EVMS

1;

34o5s 34o in EVMS

Dsuarios Primarios Gerentes de Programa/Proecto

E+uipo -ecnico P-@5s

@mplementadores Primarios Especialistas en EVMS

Administradores Cuentas Control

Agente E#ecuti$o Gestion Contratos Asignados cumplimientos2Comando %CMC2 EVMS Center2

%o% Politica !S%/A-J SA/PM2

Air Force Politica SAF/A)K


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EVMS

11

EVMS Criteria

.&o&amas $ayo&es o os sistemas de control de la gestin del contratista de"e reunir ciertos

criterios %o% necesita datos precisos a tiempo

Io impone un sistema especi0ico

Aceptacion del sistema de Gestion e#ecutados por %CMC

!S% adopt Estandares EVMS desarrollado por la Industria AIS@/E@AL?7>L1>* Sistemas de Gestion de Valor Ganado

( criteria

9 grupos maores@ !rgani


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EVMS

1

A Spectrum o0 @mplementation

Where

When

Principios nucleo EV ANSI/EIA-748-18

!"# criteria$%ailored Applications

.e1ue2asCom'a23as

-&andes Com'a23as

Cont&atistas$ayo&es de

eensa

Cuandodesee

&anos deobie&no

&eports

.a3seset&an/e&os

st&eamlined, no 'a'e&?

.oliticaco&'o&ativa,

78m'liamenteem'&esa&ial9

o :on;$a/o&Cont&acts

(>6$

o $a/o&Cont&acts

>A0$ BD"

>E00$ .&od

tailo&ed toneeds

CFB C.B

Nit4 #udgement All : are BO=

GG.cont&acts?

Come&cial o eensa


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EVMS

1(

-erminos Basicos EVMS


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EVMS

17

EVMS measures progress

Progress = Movement Forward

to measure progress,

there must be a standard

against which the forward

movement may be compared

EVMS establishes a baseline

to measure progress


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EVMS

19

8Contra +ue medimos elprogreso,

Plan Base de la medida de e#ecucion Presupuesto+ue esta distri"uido so"re 6 6 6

tiempo* para completar el alcance del

Nor

O contra lo +ue respecto de +ue2 el progreso puede medirse

El Valor Ganado es un concepto cla$e 8Cuanto progreso 4ice respecto de mi plan original,

EQpresado en moneda u 4oras

$

tiempo

Plan base

Valor ganado


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EVMS

1=

Fi$e Basic Elements


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EVMS

1?

-otal Budget

hmm! miles oftrac", ! months to do

it all$!###budgethisis going to be tough%

@t5s m pleasureto aNard out4is contract 0ora neN railroad

trac

8Cual es el costosupuesto del Empleototal,

8Cual es el $alor de los

Costos del Contrato,

8Cual es el costosupuesto del Empleototal,

8Cual es el $alor de los

Costos del Contrato,


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EVMS

1>

Budgeted Cost o0 3or Sc4eduledBC3S2

-otal Budget :9*;;;to "e spent o$er 9 mont4s@ plan to la 1 sectiono0 trac eac4 mont4 at an

estimated cost o0 :1*;;;6BC3S eac4 mont4 :1*;;;Mont4 1

BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 7BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 (BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 9BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 BC3S :1*;;;

Cada B del HC! &e'&esenta un B es'eciico del alcance del t&aba/oCada B del HC! &e'&esenta un B es'eciico del alcance del t&aba/o


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EVMS

1

Budgeted Cost o0 3or Sc4eduledBC3S2

Mont4 1BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 7BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 (BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 9BC3S :1*;;;

Mont4 BC3S :1*;;;

HC! es a&eado y sumado como el 'lan base

de medida de la e/ecucion

HC! es a&eado y sumado como el 'lan base

de medida de la e/ecucion

-otal Budget :9*;;;

-otal BC3S :9*;;;


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EVMS

;

Costo .&esu'uestado del &aba/o "/ecutado(HC!. I C."

Conce'to de #8B -8:8

3e5re at t4e end o0 t4esecond mont4* "ut onl1 section o0 trac iscomplete6 Value o0Nor per0ormed :1*;;;

Jsted ana valo& del mismo modo1ue ue '&esu'uestado en el 'lan base

Jsted ana valo& del mismo modo1ue ue '&esu'uestado en el 'lan base


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EVMS

1

Varian


22/131

EVMS

Sc4edule Variance

:

9 mont4s

BC3St4e "aseline

BC3Pearned $alue

K$"

5,000

sv


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EVMS

(

Budget at Completion BAC2

time

H8C

sumo4

allHC!%

I

Mhen all Mo&N has been 'hased, cumulative HC! I H8C

e)), 5,000 I 5,000

Mhen all Mo&N has been 'hased, cumulative HC! I H8C e)), 5,000 I 5,000

5,0005,000


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EVMS

7

At t4e end666

At t4e endo0 t4e contract* N4en all Nor 4as "een completed' @5$e earned all o0 m "udget :9*;;;2

BC3P cumulati$e2 5,000

BC3S cumulati$e2 5,000

t4ere0ore* sc4edule $ariance :2 ;

Formal sc4edule Nill re0lect N4et4er milestones Nere ac4ie$ed on time

EQample'

@ 0inis4ed late* "ut @ did 0inis4

SV :2 : ;

Formal sc4edule s4oNs a 9 mont4 actual dela in completing t4e contract


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EVMS

9

Costo &eal del -ra"a#o E#ecutadoAC3P C&-E2

a"or came to :1*(;;*

and materials cost:1*1;;6 -4at 0irst sectiono0 trac cost :*7;;R

actual e'enditu&es vs) budetactual e'enditu&es vs) budet


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EVMS

=

VA&@AIA %E C!S-!

BC 3P

AC 3P

o0 t4e Nor @ actuall per0ormed*4oN muc4 did @ "udget 0or it to cost,

o0 t4e Nor @ actuall per0ormed*4oN muc4 did it actuall cost,

C #8BK8:C"is t4e di00erence "etNeen "udgeted costand actual cost

o&mula+ C# I HC!. ; 8C!.

eQample' CV BC3P L AC3P :1*;;; L :*7;;

CV L:1*7;; negati$e cost o$errun2

C #8BK8:C"is t4e di00erence "etNeen "udgeted costand actual cost

o&mula+ C# I HC!. ; 8C!.

eQample' CV BC3P L AC3P :1*;;; L :*7;;

CV L:1*7;; negati$e cost o$errun2

."BG5

B$8:C"H8%"0


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EVMS

?

Cost Variance

:

-@ME 9 mont4s

BC3Pearned $alue

AC3Pactual cost

5,000

cv


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EVMS

>

Estimate at CompletionEAC2

Tust a 0eN little glitc4esU63e s4ould "e a"le to dot4e complete #o"U6acU

let5s see* 0or a"out :?*9;;


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EVMS

#a&iance at Com'letion (#8C

B AC N4at t4e total#o" is supposed to cost

E AC N4at t4e total#o" is eQpected to cost

#8BK8:C" 8 C$."K:is t4e di00erence "etNeen N4at t4e total#o" is supposed to cost and N4at t4e total #o" is noN eQpected to cost6

GB$J8+ #8C I H8C ; "8C

EQample' VAC :9*;;; L :?*9;;VAC L :*9;; negati$e o$errun2

#8BK8:C" 8 C$."K:is t4e di00erence "etNeen N4at t4e total

#o" is supposed to cost and N4at t4e total #o" is noN eQpected to cost6

GB$J8+ #8C I H8C ; "8C

EQample' VAC :9*;;; L :?*9;;VAC L :*9;; negati$e o$errun2


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EVMS

(;

Variance at Completion VAC2

#8C Budget at Completion L Estimate at Completion

BAC L EAC

:

BAC

EAC#8C

-@ME


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EVMS

(1

GK#" H8KC ."BGB$8:C" 88*J"K: D 8:!"B

*J"K: 8:!"B 8CB:O$

PoM much Mo&N should Hudeted Cost o& HC!be done? !o&N cheduled

PoM much Mo&N is done? Hudeted Cost o& HC!.!o&N .e&o&med

PoM much did the is done 8ctual Cost o 8C!.Mo&N cost? !o&N .e&o&med

!hat Mas the total /ob Hudet at Com'letion H8Csu''osed to cost?

!hat do Me noM e'ect the "stimate at Com'letion "8Ctotal /ob to cost?


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EVMS

(

BC3P AlloNs @solation o0Sc4edule and Cost Variances

schedule va&iance I HC!. ; HC! I neative numbe&cost va&iance I HC!. ; 8C!. I neative numbe&

behind schedule,

ove& cost

behind schedule,ove& cost

9 mont4s

BC3S

BC3P

AC3P

K$"

5,000

sv

cv:


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EVMS

((

Pop )ui mont4s 0or discrete e00ort

le$el o0 e00ort can "e longer

34at maes a good control account,

CAM


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EVMS

9(

C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAICAM name' WWWWWW 3BS' WWWWWWW -otal Budget' WWWWWWWWW

3or

3or

3or

::

: :

:

:

:

::

HJ-"

a"or 1*;;; 4rs

a"or : ?9*;;;

Material : 9*;;;

CP"J"

-@E& 1

-@E&

So* N4at5s in a ControlAccount,

!

16(6761

Build e#ection seat


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EVMS

97

evelo'ment o Cont&ol 8ccount .lans MAO "rea doNn t4e control account "udget into

smaller Nor pacages

!o&N .acNaes

su"set o0 control account

reasona"l s4ort in duration

single element o0 cost e6g6* la"or2

single tec4ni+ue 0or earning $alue

consistent Nit4 detail sc4edules

4as same c4aracteristics as control account scope o0 Nor

milestone completion criteria

single per0orming organi


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EVMS

99

discrete and measura"le

products or accomplis4ments

eQamples' design draNing pacage

conduct design re$ieN

install rudder

rolling Na$e

detailed plans made 0or near term Nor pacages planning pacages are 0or 0uture Nor and are not detailed

CAMs periodicall plan anot4er increment o0 Nor pacages

open $s6 closed pacages

3or Pacage C4aracteristics


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EVMS

9=

"a&ned #alue techni1ues isc&ete

p4sical* tangi"le end product

8''o&tioned discrete* dependent on anot4er discrete Nor pacage

eQample' +ualit assurance planned as 4istorical estimating 0actor e6g6* ?Y2

evel o "o&t no tangi"le end product

"asis o0 measurement' time

N4en cloc starts ticing* ou automaticall accumulate earned $alue

no sc4edule $ariance eQample' management personnel

hould be a 1uantitative and disc&ete May to measu&e theMo&N

$ay tie in Mith success c&ite&ia o& technical measu&e e6g6* success0ul completion o0 a speci0ic test* relia"ilit groNt4 cur$e

3as o0 Earning Value


57/131

EVMS

9?

isc&ete "# echni1ues+

$ethod PoM #alue is "a&ned

;/1;; no EV at opening* 1;;Y EV at close o0 3P

9;/9; 9;Y EV at opening* 9;Y EV at close o0 3P

Dnits Completed same "udget $alue 0or identical units

E+ui$alent Dnits planned unit standards* alloNs partial credit

3eig4ted Milestone eac4 milestone Neig4ted "ased on plannedresources

ideal to 4a$e a milestone eac4 mont4

Be %iscreteR


58/131

EVMS

9>

$ate&ial and ubcont&acts Earned Value' taen no earlier t4an receipt

de0ine

order

receipt

pament

to in$entor

usage

accurate cost accumulation and assignment to contract

s4ould per0orm price and usage $ariances

s4ould matc4 earned $alue to pament period ot4erNise* tae estimated actuals to a$oid arti0icial cost $ariance

Material Concerns


59/131

EVMS

9

chedulin system cha&acte&istics complete

all Nor included

0ormal e$erone uses same sc4edule

tracea"le

$ertical Master* @ntermediate* %etail2

4ori


60/131

EVMS

=;


61/131

EVMS

=1

CASE S-D%OPart


62/131

EVMS

=

Contract S!3

S!3 Paragrap4 166'

-4e contractor s4all design* "uild* and install a sstemto capture and eliminate t4e species &oad &unnerNit4in t4e state o0 Ari


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EVMS

=(

BEEP BEEP @I%DS-&@ESC!I-&! ACC!DI- AD-H!&@A-@!I

Control Account' &oadrunner

Control Account Manager' 3ile E6 Coote

&eason 0or @ssue' Contract to rid Ari


64/131


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EVMS

=9

Budget Estimate L BAF!

Budget Estimate

16 Procure an$il sole source L ACME An$il2 :1*9;;

6 Paint 0ae tunnel :1*;;;

(6 Build 9 miles o0 road :(*;;;

76 %e$elop and "uild an$il support mec4anism ASM2 :(*;;; design draNings complete J signed o00 C%&2 Milestone 12 :1*;;;2

"uild unit Milestone 2 :1*;;;2

+ualit test Milestone (2 :1*;;;2

96 @nstall sstem onLsite :1*9;;

-otal :1;*;;;

EV -ec4ni+ues ;/1;;* 9;/9;* Dnits Complete*

Y Complete* Milestones


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EVMS

==

C!I-&! ACC-6 -@-E' &oadrunner C!I-&! ACC!DI- MAIAGE&' 3ile E6 Coote

BD%GE-' :1;*;;;

-@E& @ M@ES-!IE - A3% - C!MP

3PX 3!& %ESC&@P-@!I EV ME-H!% M!I-H 1 M!I-H M!I-H ( M!I-H 7 M!I-H 9 M!I-H = -!-A BACHC!

1 Procure An$il

HC!.

HC!

Paint Fae -unnel

HC!.

HC!

( Build &oad

HC!.HC!

7 Build ASM

HC!.

HC!

9 @nstall ASM

HC!.

-!-A C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAI HC!

HC!.

chedule #a&iance mont4

cumulati$e

8ctual Costs

Cost #a&iance mont4

cumulati$e




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EVMS

=?


BD%GE-' :1;*;;;

-@E& @ M@ES-!IE - A3% - C!MP

3PX 3!& %ESC&@P-@!I EV ME-H!% M!I-H 1 M!I-H M!I-H ( M!I-H 7 M!I-H 9 M!I-H = -!-A BACHC! 1*9;; 1*9;;

1 Procure An$il ;/1;;

HC!.

HC! 9;; 9;; 1*;;;

Paint Fae -unnel 9;/9;

HC!.

HC! =;; =;; =;; =;; =;; (*;;;

( Build &oad units complete

HC!.HC! 1*;;; 1*;;; 1*;;; (*;;;

7 Build ASM milestone 1 (

HC!.

HC! 9;; 9;; 9;; 1*9;;

9 @nstall ASM Y complete

HC!.

-!-A C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAI HC! =;; 1*=;; *1;; *=;; *=;; 9;; 1;*;;;

HC!.


cumulati$e

8ctual Costs

Cost #a&iance mont4

cumulati$e


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EVMS

=>

basic rules of the road...

value is ea&ned usin the same method as it Mas 'lanned

sum o the Mo&N 'acNaes e1uals the cont&ol account budet

sum o the cont&ol accounts e1uals the budet baseline

s'an o loMe& tie& schedules su''o&ts u''e& schedules


69/131

EVMS

=

More Acronyms!

&pparently' you(restarting to understand this%


70/131

EVMS

?;

JH Jndist&ibuted Hudet

I autho&ized Mo&N held at to' level until it can be 'lanned in detail

(Mill eventually have 'e&o&mance measu&ement

.$H .e&o&mance $easu&ement HaselineI time 'hased budet 'lan

I detailed 'lannin S JH

$B $anaement Bese&ve

I amount Mithheld at to' level o& cont&ol 'u&'oses

(no 'e&o&mance measu&ementI used o& uno&eseen chanes that a&e Mithin sco'e o the cont&act

CHH Cont&act Hudet Hase

I .$H S $B

I cont&act at cost

at the total cont&act level))))


71/131

EVMS

?1

&olling Dp t4e 3or

time

JH

C:B 8CCJ:."

BG5B$

8:C"

$"8

%JB"

$":

H8%"

,K:"

."BG5B

$8:C

"$"8

%JB"

$":

H8%",K:"

K$" :!

$- B""B#"

.BGK

C5:

B8C

#8,J

" CBB


72/131

EVMS

?

Plans are in place66

-4e "aseline is noN in place ou5$e "roen doNn all t4e Nor

assigned it to teams

sc4eduled t4e Nor and integrated t4e sc4edules*

and assigned "udget resourcesU66

sc4edules and "udgets roll up to matc4 t4e contract

et5s tae t4e time to e$aluate t4e realism o0 t4e "aseline @ntegrated Baseline &e$ieN @B&2

#oint contractor/go$ernment team

Nit4in = mont4s o0 contract aNard or ma#or c4ange

I+d rather ,edoin an I'&


73/131

EVMS

?(

Case Stud @B&

%id Ne 0ull plan all Nor, %o Ne understand t4e Nor,

%o Ne 4a$e a reasona"le sc4edule* Nit4 logic indicated,

%o Ne 4a$e enoug4 "udget,

Are t4e earned $alue tec4ni+ues $alid, @s t4e program manager paing attention,

Bottom line' N4ere are t4e riss to t4e program,

%id Ne 0ull plan all Nor, %o Ne understand t4e Nor,

%o Ne 4a$e a reasona"le sc4edule* Nit4 logic indicated,

%o Ne 4a$e enoug4 "udget,

Are t4e earned $alue tec4ni+ues $alid, @s t4e program manager paing attention,

Bottom line' N4ere are t4e riss to t4e program,

Pisto&ical ata &om othe& Hee' Hee' '&o&ams16 A$erage 4istorical cost per mile o0 road :?9;6 Contractor 4as no eQperience in painting tunnels6(6 Contractor 4as ne$er Nored in t4is part o0 t4e countr "e0ore676 Price o0 raN aluminum on t4e open maret #ust recentl sroceted due to 4ea$ demand6


74/131

EVMS

?7

EQecuteR


75/131

EVMS

?9

Can onl c4arge to open Nor pacages contractor sstem sets procedure

Contractor maintains "aseline log N4ic4 tracs' distri"ution o0 "udget 0rom Dndistri"uted Budget DB2 to control

accounts distri"ution o0 Management &eser$e M&2

additions o0 aut4ori


76/131

EVMS

?=

more rules of the road...

cannot move budet and Mo&N inde'endently

cannot use manaement &ese&ve to cove& ove&&uns

may &e'lan o'en Mo&N 'acNaes as necessa&y

cont&acto& sets inte&nal 'olicy maintain valid 'e&o&mance ino&mation

cannot chane budets o& costs o& com'leted Mo&N

ece't to i e&&o&s


77/131

EVMS

??

Case StudPart (

EV Dpdate and End o0 Mont4 Actuals


78/131

EVMS

?>

EV Dpdate and End o0 Mont4 Actuals

Mont4 1' 1 section o0 road "uilt :?;;2

Mont4 ' %esign draNings Nere completed and signed o00 :>;21 section o0 road "uilt :?;2

Mont4 (' -4e Nor pacage 0or t4e 0ae tunnel Nas opened :;;2

A la"or strie pre$ented a section o0 road 0rom "eing "uilt :(;;2

-4e ASM "egan to "e "uilt* "ut t4e unit Nas not complete :>;;2

Mont4 7' -4e tunnel Nas not completed :7;;2-4e creN Nent "ac on t4e #o"* and got paid o$ertime6 road sections "uilt 0or :19;;6

Milestone 0or t4e ASM Nas 0inall complete6 )ualit test Nas pus4ed out 1 mont46 :7;;2

-4e install o0 t4e ASM Nas delaed* due to t4e dela in "uild6

-4e an$il Nas ordered6

Mont4 9' -4e an$il Nas deli$ered and 0inal cost Nas :1*?;;6

-4e tunnel Nas complete painted26 :9;;2-4e last section o0 road Nas "uilt 0or :?;;6

)ual test completed6 :1*;;2

-4e CAM estimated t4at t4e install Nas approQimatel ;Y complete :7;;2

Mont4 =' Additional Nor creNs Nere 4ired* and t4e installation Nas completed6

-4e additional creNs cost an additional :1*;;;6 :*1;; total2




79/131

EVMS

?


BD%GE-' :1;*;;;

-@E& @ M@ES-!IE - A3% - C!MP



HC!. 1*9;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 1*;;;


HC!. 9;; 9;;

HC! =;; =;; =;; =;; =;; (*;;;


HC!. =;; =;; L 1*;; =;;

HC! 1*;;; 1*;;; 1*;;; (*;;;


HC!. 1*;;; L 1*;;; 1*;;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 9;; 1*9;;


HC!. L (;; 1*;;

-!-A C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAI HC! =;; 1*=;; *1;; *=;; *=;; 9;; 1;*;;;

HC!. =;; 1*=;; 9;; *;; (*;; 1*;; 1;*;;;


cumulati$e

8ctual Costs

Cost #a&iance mont4

cumulati$e


80/131

EVMS

>;

Control


81/131

EVMS

>1

Control

So* our pro#ect 4as "een "aselined and Nor 4as started

@s e$ert4ing going according to plan,

IeQt step in t4e process'

0igure out our status 0igure out t4e pro"lems

0igure out N4at ou need to do to 0iQ t4em

0igure out N4at t4e impact mig4t "e

time

HC!.

HC!


82/131

EVMS

>

Status &eporting

8ssum'tion' An accurate management control sstemields accurate data

Hasic '&inci'les' &eport on periodic "asic

Neel

mont4l

!nl as 0or t4e data t4at ou reall need and use can eliminate certain 0ormats

3BS $ersus organi


83/131

EVMS

>(

Contractor &eports

Cost .e&o&mance Be'o&t (C.B

Format 1' cost and sc4edule progress " !H speci0ied reporting le$el usuall at le$el (2

Format ' cost and sc4edule progress " o&anization

Format (' c4anges to per0ormance measurement "aseline

Format 7' manpoNer 0orecast Format 9' $ariance analsis

current

and

cumda

tacur

rentan

d

cumda

ta


84/131

EVMS

>7

Formats 1 and

Contents 4eader'

"asic contract in0ormation target* ceiling* name o0 contractor* etc62

range o0 0inal estimates

"od

per0ormance data $ariances

"udget at completion* estimate at completion

!H o& B-8:KL8K:

HC! HC!. 8C!. # C# HC! HC!. 8C!. # C# HJ-" "K$8" #8BK8:C"

EEMEI-

EEMEI-

EEMEI-EEMEI-

EEMEI-

EEMEI-

-!-A

DB

PMB

M&

-!-A

CJ$J8K#" 8 C$."K:CJBB":

C t/S 4 d l St t & t


85/131

EVMS

>9

Cost/Sc4edule Status &eportC/SS&2

Similarities to CP& Format 1 3BS2

Format 9 Pro"lem Analsis2

%i00erences %oes not re+uire use o0 appro$ed management sstem J criteria

Io current period reporting

BC3S and BC3P ma "e calculated " logical means at 4ig4er le$els

Application nonLma#or contracts


86/131

EVMS

>=

Contractor 0ormat accepta"le

Electronic su"mission re+uired AIS@ K1 data set

-ailoring !nl as 0or t4e data t4at ou are reall going to use

-iming 0las4 data earl su"mittal o0 per0ormance data "e0ore

$ariance analsis2

&e0orm @nitiati$es


87/131

EVMS

>?

Analsis -ec4ni+uesor

0iguring out N4ere t4e pro"lems are


88/131

EVMS

>>

Analsis -ec4ni+ues

Sort on signi0icant $ariances eliminate almost complete* #ust starting* etc6

Grap4 and anal


89/131

EVMS

>

34ere are t4e signi0icant pro"lems,

!H "CBK.K: .&o/ c& %Com' %'ent C.K C# C# C# % #8C #8C

< (=;; PCC epa >6 (76; ;6>9; L=6 L1?6= L1>?6

= (;; C!MMDI@CA-@!IS -ideman (76=( 716;( ;6>77 L1(;6> L1>67 L>?6;

E GJA GEI J A%M@I ((6=? (=611 ;6( L796 L?6= L(=6>

4 ;; SOS EIG@IEE&@IG Price >96;7 76(9 ;6;1 L=67 L1;69 ;6;

5 (>;; @ J A -roop (967; (?6;> ;699 L76 L76?9 L76>

6 1;; P&!T MAIAGEMEI- BroNn 796?; 7>691 ;67 L1?67 L=61= L(6

A (;; FDIC @I-EG&A Price ?16= ?96( ;69 L1?67 L96;( L(;6>

T 9;; MAIAGEMEI- %A-A Simmons >761> >61; ;6>9> L1(6 L1=697 L1=6;

U (1;; SEIS!&S Smit4 ;6>? 167 ;6?1 L1;6= L67 L16=

? 1>6; ;679 L?6> L96?> L=6

=16== ;6>= L96= L16(> L6;

691 96>; ;6? L76= L(?61; ;6;


90/131

EVMS

;

Grap4ing -ec4ni+ues

%

ollars

@nM

illions

Estimates at Com pletionMEGA HE& EEC J VEI F;7=9L>=LCL;;9; &%P& FP@

Element' (=;; Iame' PCC

BAC&ECDM CP@

1AP& MAO TDI TD ADG SEP !C- I!V %EC

1(TAI

96;

=6;

?6;

>6;

961 967 961

961 967 96?

961 967 96

961 967 =6;

961 969 =6(

961 969 96>

961 969 =69

969 96? ?6=

969 96? =6>

96> =6; =6>

MEGA HE& EEC J VEI Cost/Sc4edule VarianceF;7=9L>=LCL;;9; M!HL &%P& FP@ P!P' ;1 MA& 1 L 19 SEP 1(

Percento0

%

ollars

C!S- VA&@AICESCHE%DE VA&@AICE

1MAOTDI TDADGSEP!C-I!V%EC

1(TAI

L(;6;

L;6;

L1;6;

;6;

1;6;

;6;

(;6;

Cost %ri$ers* Cause

%ollars @n MillionsBC3SBC3PAC3P

CVSV

;6( ;6 ;6

;6; L;61

;6= ;69 ;69

L;6; L;61

16; ;6 ;6

L;6; L;61

167 167 169

L;61 L;6;

6 6 6

;6; L;6;

69 6? (6;

L;6( ;6

76 (6> 76

L;69 L;67

96= 96( 96=

L;6( L;6(

?6( =6 ?6(

L;69 L;67

At Com plet ion-& P!

;6> ;6>

;6> ;6> ;6> (6;

;6 ; L6

PMB' ;67 Y C!MP' (6M&' ;67 -& M& &E' ;6;P! M& &E' ;6;

CD&&EI- FDI%@IG' 1;6;P! EPC' 76;

P&!T FDI%@IG' (6;

AS !F ' TAI (!P&' M& B6 -ECH

P&!G&AM' Mo4aN Ve4icle

;Y

L11YL?Y

L=Y

!$erall cost and sc4edule trend

EAC realism

&a'hs shoM ove&all t&end)))a&e you ettin bette&,

o& Mo&se?

&a'hs shoM ove&all t&end)))a&e you ettin bette&,

o& Mo&se?


91/131

EVMS

1

CD&&EI- !& CDM -! %A-E

chedule #a&iance SV :2 BC3P L BC3S

SV Y2 BC3P L BC3S Q 1;;Y

BC3S

Cost #a&iance CV :2 BC3P L AC3P

CV Y2 BC3P L AC3P Q 1;;Y

BC3P

Analsis o0 Variances


92/131

EVMS

CASE S-D%OPart 7

Case Stud L Accounting %ata


93/131

EVMS

(

Mont4 1 road :?;; ?;;

Mont4 road :?;

draNings :>; 1*?;;

Mont4 ( road :(;;

tunnel :;; 1*(;;

ASM :>;;

Mont4 7 road :1*9;;

tunnel :7;; *(;;

ASM :7;;

Mont4 9 road :?;;

tunnel :9;;

ASM :1*;; 9*;;

an$il :1*?;;

install :7;;

Mont4 = install :*1;; *1;;

total :1(*(;;



C!I-&! ACC- -@-E' &oadrunner C!I-&! ACC!DI- MAIAGE&' 3ile E Coote


94/131

EVMS

7


BD%GE-' :1;*;;;

-@E& @ M@ES-!IE - A3% - C!MP



HC!. 1*9;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 1*;;;


HC!. 9;; 9;;

HC! =;; =;; =;; =;; =;; (*;;;


HC!. =;; =;; L 1*;; =;;

HC! 1*;;; 1*;;; 1*;;; (*;;;


HC!. 1*;;; L 1*;;; 1*;;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 9;; 1*9;;


HC!. L (;; 1*;;

-!-A C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAI HC! =;; 1*=;; *1;; *=;; *=;; 9;; 1;*;;;

HC!. =;; 1*=;; 9;; *;; (*;; 1*;; 1;*;;;


cumulati$e

8ctual Costs

Cost #a&iance mont4

cumulati$e



C!I-&! ACC- -@-E' &oadrunner C!I-&! ACC!DI- MAIAGE&' 3ile E Coote


95/131

EVMS

9


BD%GE-' :1;*;;;

-@E& @ M@ES-!IE - A3% - C!MP



HC!. 1*9;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 1*;;;


HC!. 9;; 9;;

HC! =;; =;; =;; =;; =;; (*;;;


HC!. =;; =;; L 1*;; =;;

HC! 1*;;; 1*;;; 1*;;; (*;;;


HC!. 1*;;; L 1*;;; 1*;;;

HC! 9;; 9;; 9;; 1*9;;


HC!. L (;; 1*;;

-!-A C!I-&! ACC!DI- PAI HC! =;; 1*=;; *1;; *=;; *=;; 9;; 1;*;;;

HC!. =;; 1*=;; 9;; *;; (*;; 1*;; 1;*;;;

chedule #a&iance mont4 ; ; L1*=;; L7;; 1*(;; ?;;

cumulati$e ; ; L1*=;; L*;;; L?;; ;

8ctual Costs ?;; 1*?;; 1*(;; *(;; 9*;; *1;; 1(*(;;

Cost #a&iance mont4 L1;; L1;; L>;; L1;; L1*(;; L;;

cumulati$e L1;; L;; L1*;;; L1*1;; L*7;; L(*(;;


96/131

EVMS

=


97/131

EVMS

?

% scheduled I HC!


98/131

EVMS

>

budet status

% s'ent I 8C!.


99/131

EVMS

Go&mat 5 va&iance analysis should add&ess+ separate discussion o0 CV* SV current and cum2 and VAC

clear description o0 reason 0or $ariance +uantit $ariances e6g6* price $s6 usage2

"e speci0ic* not general

correcti$e action

tec4nical* sc4edule* and cost impacts

impact to estimate at completion

s4ould "e Nritten " CAMR

Variance EQplanations

8 bi hamme& o&a bi va&ianceW


100/131

EVMS

1;;

34at is a siniicant$ariance,

Y $ariance e6g6* Z1;Y2 : $ariance e6g6* Z:9;*;;;2

critical pat4 element

ris/compleQit

impact to ot4er elements

-op 1;* -op ;* etc6 contractor de0ined

Signi0icant Variances

Case Stud Analsis


101/131

EVMS

1;1

Case Stud Analsismont4 92

Variance Analsis &eport

-4e program is noN >>Y complete6 3e4a$e noN spent :1*;; more t4an ouroriginal "udget* primaril dri$en " tNopro"lems' 12 "uilding t4e sections o0 roads

un0oreseen grading pro"lems2 2 manu0acturing and +ualit testing o0t4e ASM increase in t4e price o0 raNstoc and 4ig4er rates t4an 0orecast 0or+ualit personnel2

3e are onl ;Y complete oninstallation* instead o0 our sc4eduled==Y6 @n order to meet contract sc4edule*

Ne Nill 4a$e to eQpend o$ertime6 CostsNill increase " an eQpected :1*;;;6

Variance Analsis &eport

-4e program is noN >>Y complete6 3e4a$e noN spent :1*;; more t4an ouroriginal "udget* primaril dri$en " tNopro"lems' 12 "uilding t4e sections o0 roadsun0oreseen grading pro"lems2 2 manu0acturing and +ualit testing o0t4e ASM increase in t4e price o0 raNstoc and 4ig4er rates t4an 0orecast 0or+ualit personnel2

3e are onl ;Y complete oninstallation* instead o0 our sc4eduled==Y6 @n order to meet contract sc4edule*

Ne Nill 4a$e to eQpend o$ertime6 CostsNill increase " an eQpected :1*;;;6

Per0ormance &eport* Mont4 9

C.K and %.K

0

0)=

0)4

0)6

0)T

; L(=Y@nstall ASM 1*;;; (;; 7;; L?;; L1;; L((Y

*9;; >*>;; 11*;; L?;; L*7;;

BC3S BC3P AC3P SV CV CV Y

Build ASM (*;;; (*;;; 7*;>; ; L1*;>; L(=Y

Build &oad (*;;; (*;;; (*; ; L; L(1Y

Procure An$il 1*9;; 1*9;; 1*?;; ; L;; L1(Y

Paint Fae -unnel 1*;;; 1*;;; 1*1;; ; L1;; L1;Y

@nstall ASM 1*;;; (;; 7;; L?;; L1;; L((Y


102/131

EVMS

1;

"stimate at Com'letion ("8C de0ined as actual cost to date [ estimated cost o0 Nor remaining

contractor de$elops compre4ensi$e EAC at least annuall reported " 3BS in cost per0ormance report

s4ould eQamine on mont4l "asis

consider t4e 0olloNing in EAC generation per0ormance to date

impact o0 appro$ed correcti$e action plans

noNn/anticipated doNnstream pro"lems

"est estimate o0 t4e cost to complete remaining Nor

also called latest re$ised estimate &E2* indicated 0inal cost* etc6

34at Nill "e t4e 0inal cost,

8C!. S "C I "8C


103/131

EVMS

1;(

Common "8C Go&mulae+

EAC BAC

CP@

AC3Pcum [ Budgeted Cost o0 3or &emaining

CP@(


6>CP@2 [6SP@2


CP@ SP@

!ne met4od' statistical 0ormulae


104/131

EVMS

1;7

!t4er met4ods o0 EAC calculation

Grass &oots or 0ormal EAC detailed "uildLup 0rom t4e loNest le$el detail

4ours* rates* "ill o0 material* etc6 A$erage o0 statistical 0ormulae

S4oN range o0 EACs optimistic* most pro"a"le*pessimistic2

Complete sc4edule ris analsis 0or remainingNor* estimate Nor remaining

EVMS34 do Ne need accurate EACs,


105/131

EVMS

1;9

#a&iance at Com'letion vs) Cont&acto& oss

.ositive #8C+ EAC \ BAC underrun contractor gain

:eative #8C' EAC Z BAC s4are area contractor partial loss

EAC Z ceiling o$errun contractor loss 1;;Y2

-ove&nment develo's to' level "8C o& com'a&ison go$ernment Nill limit progress paments i0 EAC is greater t4an ceiling

go$ernment needs 0orecast o0 0und re+uirements

$ay still have time to chane the inal outcome

34 do Ne need accurate EACs,

EVMS S


106/131

EVMS

1;=

o$er >;; militar programs s4oN t4at 666666

noprogram 4as e$er impro$ed per0ormance "etter t4an t4e 0olloNing

EAC calculation

EAC BAC

CP@

at 19Ycomplete point in program

ea&ly staesR

no one pays enough attention in the

Sur$e sasU66

EVMS


107/131

EVMS

1;?

Managing Nit4 Earned Value %ata

EVMS M i it4 EVMS


108/131

EVMS

1;>

Managing Nit4 EVMS

C4ange t4e mindsig4t

-ailor to 4oN t4e contractor actuall manages

Mae it 0orNard looing Assign responsi"ilit Nit4in t4e go$ernment program

o00ice

Set up a 0aster response time

Ac+uire and use so0tNare analsis tools

EVMS h : ! t H i


109/131

EVMS

1;

he :eM !ay to o Husiness

!Nners4ip " program managers and @P-s

@ndustr taing lead to mae EVMS a "asis "usiness practice

Dse o0 earned $alue reporting as management tool to a$oid costo$erruns 0orNard looing2

Sc4edule management an integral part o0 pro#ect management

IeN 0ocus 0or re$ieNs

"aseline realism* eQecuta"ilit

insig4t* not o$ersig4t

EVMS is a cultural change for program managers

EVMSHoN can Ne manage programs


110/131

EVMS

11;

g p gusing Earned Value,

Kn o&de& o& "a&ned #alue to beused as a manaement toolX)

We must tailor it to reflect the management

structure, policy, and operating culture of the

contractor.

the&Mise, it Mill be seen sim'ly as an

ete&nal &e'o&t that &e'o&ts histo&yR

EVMS F d


111/131

EVMS

111

ForNard oo

ime noM

!he&e MeY&e oin!he&e MeYve been

"C

HC!BCum

%#?

CumC#?

%.K

C.K

Emonthav(

#a&iancee6'lanation

C.K;,B"

C.K;H8C

.&o/ectedva&iances

%chedule&isN

COST HISTORY COST !OI"#C$

Cechnical&isN

EVMS he Cont&ol 8ccount


112/131

EVMS

11

he Cont&ol 8ccount$anae&

C:B8CCJ:$8:8-"B(C8$

-#"B:$":

C:B8CCJ:$8:8-"B(-C8$

C CP"J"

"CP:KC8

"m'oMe&ed by '&o&am manae&))) $anae assined eo&t+

echnical chedule Cost

$onthly va&iance analysis Jnde&stand the baseline

EVMS Analsis Nit4in t4e SP!


113/131

EVMS

11(

Analsis Nit4in t4e SP!

Assign to tec4nical managers Nit4in program o00ices

Go$ernment Control Account managers GCAMs2

Conduct mont4l team $ariance meetings

!pen* 4onest communication essential !ral* eLmail* and 0aceLtoL0ace discussions

Continuing dialogue dramaticall impro$es Format 9

Earl Narning analsis -op le$el cost and sc4edule analsis " EVMS and sc4edule analsts

CAM/GCAM analsis at loNest le$el

3or closel Nit4 %CMC team

S4are results o0 analsis Nit4 contractor

EVMS " l ! i t


114/131

EVMS

117

"a&ly !a&nin ystem

Flas4 data recei$ed ASAP* no Nritten analsis EVMS and sc4edule managers re$ieN data -elecon0erence Nit4 %CMC

e$aluate cost and sc4edule $ariances e$aluate trends e$aluate against program master sc4edule

Prepare top le$el analsis to program manager and@P- leads

recommend elements 0or 0urt4er analsis GCAMs discuss t4eir elements Nit4 CAMs

Nrite up oNn $ariance analsis

%on5t Nait until ou get t4e report to communicateR

EVMS :eM 8dvances in otMa&e 8nalysis ools


115/131

EVMS

119

:eM 8dvances in otMa&e 8nalysis ools

C8$ -C8$.8."B

C.B DCP"J"

C.B DCP"J"

EVMS t 0t t l d t4 " 4i


116/131

EVMS

11=

et so0tNare tools do t4e num"er crunc4ing

EVMS Toint Dse o0 So0tNare -ools


117/131

EVMS

11?

Toint Dse o0 So0tNare -ools

&end 8nalysis ; !he&e Pave Me Heen?

oNest 3BS le$el or @P- le$el

color codes* c4arts

.&o/ection o utu&e ; PoM Had Can it -et?

EAC trends comparison o0 cost e00iciencies

Gocus on '&oblems ; !hat a&e the siniicant d&ive&s?

Sort " elements* trends* CAM names

autosnc to program sc4edule

Go&mat 5 8nalysis ; !hat a&e Me doin about it? Toint analsis* correcti$e plans* ris mitigation

Be'o&t ene&ato&

all 0ormats

can go 'a'e&less

EVMS :otable "#$ *uotes


118/131

EVMS

11>

:otable "#$ *uotes

78&e Me looNin ood, o& a&e Me int&ouble? 8nd, hoM do Me NnoM?9

C8. Zoe ye&, J:GF8;


119/131

EVMS

11

Summar

%easures of Successful Reform EVMS used to mae dail decisions a"out program

eQecution

contractor and go$ernment

&eports are not seen as "urdensome

and

.&o&ams a&e com'leted

on time and Mithin budet

EVMS


120/131

EVMS

1;

Additional &e0erences

EVMS CP"J" O."


121/131

EVMS

11

-antt Cha&t ; 8ctivities hoM a 'eciic ta&t and to' ate

$ilestone Cha&t

; $a/o& "vent &iented) hoMs ta&t o& to' ate o 8ctivity

ine o Halance ; e'icts .&oduction 8ctivity) 8ctual ve&sus .lanned ut'ut

:etMo&Nin ; Kdentiies and eines all 8ctivities and "vents o& a .&o&am and inNs hem in oical 7Cause and "ect9 e1uences

EVMS CP"J" O." (contYd


122/131

EVMS

1

CP"J" O." (cont d

1050 0/0

BEGININITIAL

PROGRAM DEF

XXP

1051 44/0

INITIALPROGRAM

DEF PROCESS

XXP

2000 0/0

INITIATEACQ

STRATEGY

XXP

1200 6/0

BEGININITIAL

PROGRAMDEF

XXP

1250 4/0

DRAFTF/56

REVIEW/COMMENT

XXP

1400 0/0

PMD/F56

RECEIPT

XXP

1300 4/0

DRAFT PAD

REVIEW/COMMENT

XXL

NETWORK

Attachment 1

GANTT CART

A

C

T

IV

IT

IE

S

NOW

TIME (MONTHS)

ACT!AL

PROGRESS

SCED!LED

ACTIVITY

Attachment 3

MILESTONE CART

A""#$%&'(" 6

Now

Line

P)*+)#& &,-'."*('.

P)*+)#& S$%'-' S."'& N* 1000 S.."'& A"*"'E,&'("

T' P)*+)#& A. * 7(' 1896

Prior

Schedule

1 P)*+)#& ,)'$",*(

2 F#$,-," M*,,$#",*(

3 S. I("'+ C,(")#$" #:#)

4 ADPE I(."#- ; $%'$'-*&'("

Fiscal year!"#

Fiscal year!"$

F%!"&

F%!""

F%!"!

'olda*e

M* Y) O N D 7 F M A M 7 7 A S O N D 7 F M A M 7 7 A S 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2

M*("% D 7 F M A M 7

C*(")#$" S$%'-' 5 9 15 20 30 52 90

A$"#- D'-,>') 0 5 = 11 14

!

(,".

(+) O,-E'TI.E (') PRO/R+M ST+TIS90

=0

60

50

40

30

20

10

0

D#"' * S"

1 M#

'on*rac* schedule

(cuula*i0e)

A$"#-'-,>')

,ar 1 2 3 # $ & " ! 4 1 2 3 # $ & " ! 14

80B $*&-'"'

L,('*#-#($' #. * 1 M#

(,) PRO56'TION PL+N

L'+'(

P)$%#.' P#)"

C*( M#'

S$*(")#$" P#)"

A..'&-Fa7rica*e 7allis*ics shell

$ Procure roc8e* en9ine

Fa7rica*e :ins3 &

+sse7le air

0ehicle 7ody"

!

Finalasse7ly

Tes* 1G*>')(&'("#$$'"#($'4

1

2

26 25 24 23 22 21 18 20 18 19 1= 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 8 9 = 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Wor8;5ays Prior *o Shien* ; 11 Wor8;5ays er Mon*hSchedule 0ariance *rends 5oes y con*rac*or *ell *he sae s*ory as *he da*a? When do I *hin8 *he *rend will iro0e?

WH+T +M I 5OIN/ +,O6T IT? 'auses 'orrec*i0e ac*ions Iac* *o *he ro9ra

#HC!

V


125/131

19

Hehind chedule

; PoM c&itical is schedule? ; Can K ao&d to Mo&N ove&time to &ecove&? ; Can K do tasNs concu&&ently?

; 8&e the&e technical innovations Mhich could s'eed u' the '&ocess? ; 8m K 7old 'latin9 instead o /ust meetin &e1ui&ements? ; hould K do a schedule &isN assessment to '&o/ect im'act to '&o&am?

ve& Cost

; Can K &eschedule tasNs? (ime'hasin ; Ks the&e a less costly acility K can use? ; 8&e the&e tasNs Mhich can be deleted? ; hould the element be added to my &isN manaement '&oile?

EVMS "8B:" #8J" .BH"$ K:KC8B


126/131

1=

-8+ o #e&iy hat "ective #a&iance 8nalysis .&ocesses 8&e 8''lied o Kdentiy, Co&&ect, 8nd Be'o&t .&oblems

.":K8 .BH"$ K:KC8B+ Le&o va&iances

$onthly t&ends tu&nin neative o& doMnMa&d

chedule va&iances ene&ally indicate cost Mill olloM

8ctuals > atest Bevised "stimates (B"

HC!. inc&eases Mith no inc&ease in 8C!.

:eative data elements

"8B:" #8J" .BH"$ K:KC8B

EVMS."BGB$8:C" "GGKCK":CO 8: "8Cs


127/131

1?

K PK:R P" C:B8CB !K C$" K: : HJ-"?

C ."BGB$8:C" K:"V+

C.K I cost eiciency o& Mo&N 'e&o&med to date(he value o Mo&N accom'lished o& each dolla& s'ent


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1>

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Gar C4ristle* Tan 7* paper* @mplementation o0 Earned Value L AModel Program Approac4

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Gar C4ristle* 19 Sep 7* paper* -4e Cost/Sc4edule Control SstemsCriteria and Earned Value Management' A Vision

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( !ct ?* Earned Value Management @mplementation Guide &e$ 12 DS%AJ-2 etter* 17 %ec =* @ndustr Standard Guidelines 0or Earned

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gestion proyectos con el metodo del valor ganado

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