calculos de poblacion ultimo

8/17/2019 Calculos de Poblacion Ultimo

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pob 2031 4360.39

metodo de la parabola

Año poblacion t 3196.00 &

1993.00 3196.00 0.00 0.00 3447.00 &2005.00 3447.00 12.00 12.00 3545.00 &2007.00 3545.00 2.00 14.00

'alores ( 'alores ) 'alores *0.00 0.00 1.00 +eterminante #336.00

144.00 12.00 1.00196.00 14.00 1.00

' ind 'alores ) 'alores * +A #674.00 2.01

3196.00 0.00 1.003447.00 12.00 1.003545.00 14.00 1.00

'alores ( ' ind 'alores * +, 1060.00 #3.150.00 3196.00 1.00

144.00 3447.00 1.00196.00 3545.00 1.00

'alores ( ' ind ' ind +- #1073856.00 3196.000.00 0.00 3196.00

144.00 12.00 3447.00196.00 14.00 3545.00

año 2026.00pob 2031 5276.38

METODO DE LOS INCREMETOS VARIABLES

Año poblacion !1972.00 2708.00 0.00 0.001981.00 2740.00 32.00 0.001993.00 3196.00 456.00 424.002005.00 3447.00 251.00 #205.002007.00 3545.00 98.00 #153.00

837.00 16.50

!& 166.401.30

m& 1.00

año 2026.00

2!

2!&


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pob 2031 3711.40

DE LA CRVA NORMAL L

Año poblacion

1993.00 3196.002005.00 3447.002007.00 3545.00

condiciones

a% !o!2/!12 ob% !o"!22!1 o

!s 3600.61a #2.07

b #1.04t 3.30

año 2026.00pob 2031 3586.13


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0.00 A " 0.00 , " 1.00 -

144.00 A " 12.00 , " 1.00 -196.00 A " 14.00 , " 1.00 -


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METODO DE LOS MINIMOS CADRADOS

Año poblacion )i lo )i (i21972 2708 1.1816839 0.0725013183 73332641981 2740 16.642336 1.2212142798 75076001993 3196 7.853567 0.8950669508 10214416

2005 3447 2.8430519 0.4537847923 118818092007 3545

12091 28.520639 2.6425673413 369370893022.75 7.1301596 0.6606418353 9234272.25

-- A- )i& 26.639245924 " #0.006454085 (i

-- :-a& 6.6093780708b& #0.000121514

#0.000121514(i )i& 6.6093780708 e

A;< +A-+> => -


8/10

(i)i (ilo)i3200 196.3335699748

45600 3346.127126772725100 2860.6339748817

9800 1564.1961790048

83700 7967.290850634120925 1991.8227126585

13022.75

1

3022.75

-- ! +-A+A - ! +-A+AA- :- A- :-

3.7595136 4.2961682257 133.274757 152.29916360212.89934695 4.217392648 106.645947 155.92962309992.21104491 4.1382355307 83.6862967 159.4556827291.67092642 4.0588246947 64.6415764 162.8678281638

DE LA "ARABOLA CBICA

(3 (4 (5 (60 0 0 0

0.729 0.6561 0.34867844 2248839358515130000001.728 2.0736 6.19173642 31822046069192700000001.728 2.0736 6.19173642 50088171378438600000000.008 0.0016 1.024#007 127021550911887000

4 5 13 8416032702165560000000

15636 0.794514803311147 #2.742738125211927 1.776678129113505 #1.5177879543634#021


9/10

3022.75 7.13015964 94.9493797 #0.0310807649234272.25 20925 #0.03108076 1.02823#005

3022.75 0.66064184 94.9493797 #0.031080764

9234272.25 1991.82271 #0.03108076 1.02823#005

(2) (3)0 0

2219.4 1997.464602.24 5522.6884963.68 5956.416

141.8 28.3611927 13505

#2.74273813 1.776678129 #4.413#017 15636 ao23.557643 #18.42843431 2.375#016 11147 a1

#18.4284343 14.91049046 #1.637#016 11927 a21.5796#020 #1.2921#020 1.188#022 13505 a3


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7.1301596385 a 26.639245920925 b #0.00645409

0.6606418353 A 0.8201606

1991.8227127 , #5.277#005

3041.4819257#95.976963292204.96239761#1.65929#019

calculos de poblacion ultimo

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