analisis de elecciones 2009 mas bolivia y el exterior

Primer Dígito

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Distribución del Primer Dígito

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DISTRIBUCIÓN DEL SEGUNDO DÍGITO

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DISTRIBUCIÓN DE LOS PRIMEROS DOS DÍGITOS

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ANÁLISIS DE DATOS; ELECCIONES 2009 MAS BOLIVIA Y EL EXTERIOR1er Dígito Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc

1 11848 0.509 0.301 7013.096 0.301 0.208 69.049 3333.235 0.295 0.307 0.2082 3627 0.156 0.176 4102.398 0.176 -0.020 8.168 55.091 0.171 0.181 0.0203 810 0.035 0.125 2910.698 0.125 -0.090 41.614 1516.108 0.121 0.129 0.0904 1025 0.044 0.097 2257.713 0.097 -0.053 27.289 673.062 0.093 0.101 0.0535 1112 0.048 0.079 1844.685 0.079 -0.031 17.765 291.013 0.076 0.083 0.0316 1207 0.052 0.067 1559.659 0.067 -0.015 9.231 79.741 0.064 0.070 0.0157 1294 0.056 0.058 1351.038 0.058 -0.002 1.585 2.408 0.055 0.061 0.0028 1212 0.052 0.051 1191.700 0.051 0.001 0.589 0.346 0.048 0.054 0.0019 1162 0.050 0.046 1066.012 0.046 0.004 2.994 8.643 0.043 0.048 0.004

2do Dígito Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc0 3374 0.145 0.120 2788.185 0.120 0.025 11.814 123.083 0.115 0.124 0.0251 2985 0.128 0.114 2653.295 0.114 0.014 6.831 41.468 0.110 0.118 0.0142 2317 0.099 0.109 2535.180 0.109 -0.009 4.580 18.777 0.105 0.113 0.0093 2053 0.088 0.104 2430.576 0.104 -0.016 8.082 58.654 0.100 0.108 0.0164 1941 0.083 0.100 2336.922 0.100 -0.017 8.624 67.077 0.096 0.104 0.0175 1997 0.086 0.097 2252.354 0.097 -0.011 5.650 28.950 0.093 0.100 0.0116 2061 0.088 0.093 2175.241 0.093 -0.005 2.561 6.000 0.090 0.097 0.0057 2017 0.087 0.090 2104.884 0.090 -0.004 1.997 3.669 0.087 0.094 0.0048 2203 0.095 0.088 2040.118 0.088 0.007 3.764 13.004 0.084 0.091 0.0079 2349 0.101 0.085 1980.245 0.085 0.016 8.651 68.668 0.081 0.089 0.016

CHI-CUADRADO PARA EL PRIMER DIGITO DMA Primer Digito5959.646 0.047

15.507

CHI-CUADRADO PARA ELSEGUNDO DIGITO DMA Segundo Digito429.352 0.01216.919

CHI-CUADRADO PARA LOS PRIMEROS DOS DIGITOS DMA Primeros Dos Digitos12147.116

112.022 0.006376

P2D Ca Po Benford Ce Pe Dif Signif Chi-cuad LimInf LimSup Disc10 1179 0.051 0.041 964.325 0.041 0.009 7.044 47.790 0.039 0.044 0.00911 1106 0.047 0.038 880.360 0.038 0.010 7.735 57.832 0.035 0.040 0.01012 1056 0.045 0.035 809.853 0.035 0.011 8.786 74.814 0.032 0.037 0.01113 1037 0.045 0.032 749.807 0.032 0.012 10.643 110.002 0.030 0.034 0.01214 1045 0.045 0.030 698.053 0.030 0.015 13.314 172.440 0.028 0.032 0.01515 1165 0.050 0.028 652.985 0.028 0.022 20.304 401.478 0.026 0.030 0.02216 1235 0.053 0.026 613.385 0.026 0.027 25.416 629.955 0.024 0.028 0.02717 1227 0.053 0.025 578.315 0.025 0.028 27.294 727.618 0.023 0.027 0.02818 1309 0.056 0.023 547.039 0.023 0.033 32.946 1061.322 0.022 0.025 0.03319 1489 0.064 0.022 518.973 0.022 0.042 43.041 1813.103 0.020 0.024 0.04220 1457 0.063 0.021 493.647 0.021 0.041 43.803 1879.984 0.019 0.023 0.04121 1066 0.046 0.020 470.678 0.020 0.026 27.699 752.973 0.018 0.022 0.02622 543 0.023 0.019 449.752 0.019 0.004 4.416 19.333 0.018 0.021 0.00423 227 0.010 0.018 430.608 0.018 -0.009 9.880 96.274 0.017 0.020 0.00924 68 0.003 0.018 413.027 0.018 -0.015 17.105 288.222 0.016 0.019 0.01525 41 0.002 0.017 396.826 0.017 -0.015 17.991 319.062 0.015 0.019 0.01526 58 0.002 0.016 381.848 0.016 -0.014 16.684 274.657 0.015 0.018 0.01427 34 0.001 0.016 367.959 0.016 -0.014 17.523 303.101 0.014 0.017 0.01428 65 0.003 0.015 355.046 0.015 -0.012 15.485 236.945 0.014 0.017 0.01229 68 0.003 0.015 343.008 0.015 -0.012 14.932 220.488 0.013 0.016 0.01230 66 0.003 0.014 331.760 0.014 -0.011 14.668 212.890 0.013 0.016 0.01131 79 0.003 0.014 321.226 0.014 -0.010 13.581 182.654 0.012 0.015 0.01032 72 0.003 0.013 311.340 0.013 -0.010 13.627 183.991 0.012 0.015 0.01033 81 0.003 0.013 302.045 0.013 -0.009 12.773 161.767 0.011 0.014 0.00934 78 0.003 0.013 293.289 0.013 -0.009 12.622 158.033 0.011 0.014 0.00935 68 0.003 0.012 285.026 0.012 -0.009 12.904 165.249 0.011 0.014 0.00936 95 0.004 0.012 277.216 0.012 -0.008 10.980 119.772 0.010 0.013 0.00837 85 0.004 0.012 269.823 0.012 -0.008 11.287 126.600 0.010 0.013 0.00838 95 0.004 0.011 262.814 0.011 -0.007 10.379 107.154 0.010 0.013 0.00739 91 0.004 0.011 256.159 0.011 -0.007 10.345 106.487 0.010 0.012 0.00740 91 0.004 0.011 249.834 0.011 -0.007 10.071 100.980 0.009 0.012 0.007

41 116 0.005 0.010 243.813 0.010 -0.005 8.197 67.003 0.009 0.012 0.00542 86 0.004 0.010 238.076 0.010 -0.007 9.874 97.142 0.009 0.012 0.00743 103 0.004 0.010 232.602 0.010 -0.006 8.508 72.212 0.009 0.011 0.00644 91 0.004 0.010 227.375 0.010 -0.006 9.055 81.795 0.008 0.011 0.00645 117 0.005 0.010 222.377 0.010 -0.005 7.067 49.935 0.008 0.011 0.00546 102 0.004 0.009 217.595 0.009 -0.005 7.839 61.408 0.008 0.011 0.00547 102 0.004 0.009 213.013 0.009 -0.005 7.607 57.855 0.008 0.010 0.00548 119 0.005 0.009 208.621 0.009 -0.004 6.198 38.500 0.008 0.010 0.00449 98 0.004 0.009 204.406 0.009 -0.005 7.440 55.391 0.008 0.010 0.00550 116 0.005 0.009 200.358 0.009 -0.004 5.950 35.518 0.007 0.010 0.00451 113 0.005 0.008 196.468 0.008 -0.004 5.944 35.460 0.007 0.010 0.00452 112 0.005 0.008 192.725 0.008 -0.003 5.803 33.813 0.007 0.009 0.00353 117 0.005 0.008 189.122 0.008 -0.003 5.229 27.504 0.007 0.009 0.00354 114 0.005 0.008 185.652 0.008 -0.003 5.243 27.654 0.007 0.009 0.00355 116 0.005 0.008 182.307 0.008 -0.003 4.893 24.116 0.007 0.009 0.00356 107 0.005 0.008 179.080 0.008 -0.003 5.370 29.012 0.007 0.009 0.00357 95 0.004 0.008 175.965 0.008 -0.003 6.089 37.254 0.006 0.009 0.00358 120 0.005 0.007 172.957 0.007 -0.002 4.004 16.215 0.006 0.009 0.00259 102 0.004 0.007 170.050 0.007 -0.003 5.199 27.232 0.006 0.008 0.00360 90 0.004 0.007 167.239 0.007 -0.003 5.955 35.673 0.006 0.008 0.00361 115 0.005 0.007 164.520 0.007 -0.002 3.835 14.905 0.006 0.008 0.00262 111 0.005 0.007 161.888 0.007 -0.002 3.974 15.996 0.006 0.008 0.00263 120 0.005 0.007 159.338 0.007 -0.002 3.087 9.712 0.006 0.008 0.00264 147 0.006 0.007 156.868 0.007 0.000 0.750 0.621 0.006 0.008 0.00065 112 0.005 0.007 154.473 0.007 -0.002 3.388 11.678 0.006 0.008 0.00266 124 0.005 0.007 152.150 0.007 -0.001 2.249 5.208 0.005 0.008 0.00167 124 0.005 0.006 149.895 0.006 -0.001 2.081 4.474 0.005 0.007 0.00168 126 0.005 0.006 147.707 0.006 -0.001 1.751 3.190 0.005 0.007 0.00169 138 0.006 0.006 145.582 0.006 0.000 0.589 0.395 0.005 0.007 0.00070 124 0.005 0.006 143.517 0.006 -0.001 1.592 2.654 0.005 0.007 0.00171 134 0.006 0.006 141.509 0.006 0.000 0.591 0.398 0.005 0.007 0.00072 103 0.004 0.006 139.558 0.006 -0.002 3.061 9.576 0.005 0.007 0.00273 140 0.006 0.006 137.659 0.006 0.000 0.157 0.040 0.005 0.007 0.000

74 147 0.006 0.006 135.811 0.006 0.000 0.920 0.922 0.005 0.007 0.00075 110 0.005 0.006 134.012 0.006 -0.001 2.037 4.302 0.005 0.007 0.00176 127 0.005 0.006 132.260 0.006 0.000 0.415 0.209 0.005 0.007 0.00077 137 0.006 0.006 130.554 0.006 0.000 0.522 0.318 0.005 0.007 0.00078 147 0.006 0.006 128.890 0.006 0.001 1.555 2.544 0.005 0.007 0.00179 125 0.005 0.005 127.269 0.005 0.000 0.157 0.040 0.004 0.006 0.00080 131 0.006 0.005 125.688 0.005 0.000 0.430 0.224 0.004 0.006 0.00081 136 0.006 0.005 124.146 0.005 0.001 1.022 1.132 0.004 0.006 0.00182 133 0.006 0.005 122.641 0.005 0.000 0.893 0.875 0.004 0.006 0.00083 121 0.005 0.005 121.172 0.005 0.000 0.016 0.000 0.004 0.006 0.00084 126 0.005 0.005 119.738 0.005 0.000 0.528 0.327 0.004 0.006 0.00085 115 0.005 0.005 118.338 0.005 0.000 0.262 0.094 0.004 0.006 0.00086 110 0.005 0.005 116.970 0.005 0.000 0.600 0.415 0.004 0.006 0.00087 103 0.004 0.005 115.633 0.005 -0.001 1.131 1.380 0.004 0.006 0.00188 106 0.005 0.005 114.326 0.005 0.000 0.734 0.606 0.004 0.006 0.00089 131 0.006 0.005 113.049 0.005 0.001 1.645 2.851 0.004 0.006 0.00190 120 0.005 0.005 111.800 0.005 0.000 0.730 0.601 0.004 0.006 0.00091 120 0.005 0.005 110.578 0.005 0.000 0.851 0.803 0.004 0.006 0.00092 101 0.004 0.005 109.382 0.005 0.000 0.755 0.642 0.004 0.006 0.00093 107 0.005 0.005 108.212 0.005 0.000 0.069 0.014 0.004 0.006 0.00094 125 0.005 0.005 107.067 0.005 0.001 1.689 3.004 0.004 0.005 0.00195 153 0.007 0.005 105.946 0.005 0.002 4.533 20.898 0.004 0.005 0.00296 103 0.004 0.005 104.848 0.005 0.000 0.132 0.033 0.004 0.005 0.00097 110 0.005 0.004 103.773 0.004 0.000 0.563 0.374 0.004 0.005 0.00098 116 0.005 0.004 102.719 0.004 0.001 1.264 1.717 0.004 0.005 0.00199 107 0.005 0.004 101.687 0.004 0.000 0.478 0.278 0.003 0.005 0.000

Cantidad de reg. =23297

23297

23297

10000