crisis económicas y financieras. causas profundas y soluciones. capítulo 2

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  • 7/22/2019 Crisis econmicas y financieras. Causas profundas y soluciones. Captulo 2.

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    Liptukh GG

    JK JDJLUH KIDDJS W HUSI\ SJDKJ]GHFJ\

    3.9.- Ki hcvgjeie ej Kiddjr

    I ki lurvi ej Kiddjr kj hlurrj kh ogsoh quj i ki pikicri hcvgjeie. Iocis

    tgjfjf uf fhocrj djh dhftgliojftj jf listjkkifh y, i su vjz, rjprjsjftif ikbh

    jvgejftj jf s ogsoh. Ki jvgejflgi ej ki pikicri hcvgjeie fh fjljsgti sjr

    rjsiktiei, pjrh s quj lhfvgjfj gfsgstgr jf ki jvgejflgi ej Kiddjr phrquj, fh s

    phr qu rizf (iufquj ki gftuyh), oulmhs jxpjrths phktglhs y jlhfhogstis ki

    lrgtglif sjvjriojftj h, ik ojfhs, ki phfjf jf euei.

    Ki lurvi tjrgli ej Kiddjr js uf brdglh quj tgjfj dhroi ej liopifi yquj rjkilghfi khs gfbrjshs dgslikjs thtikjs quj ki Ieogfgstrilgf ^ckgli

    rjliuei, lhf khs tgphs gophsgtgvhs quj sj ipkglif jf liei lish. Khs jxtrjohs

    shf lkirhs y eif kubir i geftglhs gfbrjshs dgslikjs0 9) \g jk tgph gophsgtgvh js

    ljrh khs gfbrjshs sjrf fukhs1 y 3) sg jk tgph gophsgtgvh js jk oxgoh ejk lgjf

    phr lgjf, fiegj (fg joprjsi, fg pirtglukir), sjri tif thfth y oishqugsti lhoh

    piri trici`ir y prheulgr skh piri jk Jstieh sgf fgfbf cjfjdglgh prhpgh. Jf jsj

    lish kh rjliueieh phr gopujsths sjri tiocgf ljrh. Jftrj iochs jxtrjohs sj

    ei ki lgrlufstiflgi kbgli ej quj, ik prgflgpgh, i ojegei quj iuojftif khs tgphs

    gophsgtgvhs tiocgf iuojftif khs gfbrjshs dgslikjs thtikjs, pjrh sgjoprj kkjbi

    uf ohojfth jf quj khs gfegvgeuhs y joprjsis, iftj fujvhs iuojfths ej tgphs

    oirbgfikjs, lhogjfzif i trici`ir ojfhs y ejsvif sus iltgvgeiejs milgi jk

    hlgh y ki jlhfhoi suojrbgei. Lhfsjlujflgi ej jkkh js quj, i su vjz, imhrrif

    ojfhs. Jf jk pufth kbgeh ej ki lurvi ej Kiddjr sj oixgogzif khs gfbrjshs

    thtikjs rjliueiehs phr Milgjfei.

    \g jk sgstjoi gophsgtgvh vgbjftj sj jflujftri jf ufhs tgphs oiyhrjs, jk

    jdjlth prheulgeh phr ki dikti ej jstoukh ik trici`h js supjrghr ik jdjlth gfbrjsh

    dgslik thtik, lhf kh quj phejohs mickir ej ufi sgtuilgf jf ki quj "ki ivirglgi

    rhopj jk silh". Ki jxtrikgogtilgf jf jk idf rjliueithrgh phr pirtj ejk

    Bhcgjrfh kkjvi ej mjlmh i quj sj pirikglj jk sgstjoi prheultgvh muoifh y quj,

    i ki phstrj, jk thtik rjliueieh sji ojfhr ejcgeh i kis dubis milgi ki jlhfhoi

    suojrbgei h gfdhroik y i khs jdjlths fjbitgvhs shcrj jk trici`h, jk idf

    joprjsirgik y khs gfljftgvhs ik hlgh lhohef. Ki lhfsjlujflgi js quj jk

    Jstieh tgjfj ojfhs oirbjf ej oifghcri piri bistir sg fh qugjrj gflurrgr jf

    os edglgt y os jfejueiogjfth pckglh. ^hr jstj liogfh khs os

    pjr`uegliehs pujejf ilicir sgjfeh kis lkisjs pisgvis y os ejsdivhrjlgeis

    quj fh pherf cjfjdglgirsj tiophlh ej kis sucvjflghfjs jstitikjs. ^hr

    supujsth kis bjfjrilghfjs vjfgejris tiocgf tjferf quj shphrtir ki gfjdglilgi

    ej ki vhrilgeie rjliueithrgi iltuik.

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    Uifth Irtmur Kiddjr lhoh Riffgsag y htrhs, ejstilirhf ki gophrtiflgi ej

    khs tgphs gophsgtgvhs oirbgfikjs ci`hs piri hctjfjr ufhs cujfhs rjsuktiehs

    jlhfoglhs quj jvgtirif ki rjljsgf, jk jstifliogjfth ej ki prheultgvgeie, ufi

    jkjviei gfdkilgf y uf ci`h fgvjk ej imhrrh. Kis tjsgs pkiftjieis tuvgjrhfjspjlgik prjegliojfth jf khs ihs hlmjfti jf Jstiehs Zfgehs ehfej sj

    lhfstitici quj ki gftjrvjflgf ibhcgiftj ejk Jstieh imhbici ki gfglgitgvi y ki

    gffhvilgf. \j vikhrici os ki gophrtiflgi ej ki lhfdgifzi jf ufh ogsoh y sj

    ejslhfticif khs pjkgbrhs quj sj lhrrjf luifeh ufhs gfegvgeuhs kgcrjs sj

    iphyif ejoisgieh jf ki gftjrvjflgf jlhfogli ejk Jstieh. Ki lhgflgejflgi

    lhf ki fjljsgeie ej gflrjojftir bisths piri idrhftir ki jslikiei ogkgtir

    iojrglifi quj ik dgfik tjrogf lhf ki lkiueglilgf ejk phejrh shvgtglh, egh

    kubir i quj khs jdjlths ej ki lurvi ej Kiddjr fh dujsjf tif vgsgckjs jfthfljs jf

    Z\I.

    ^jrh, ej mjlmh, jsj prgflgpgh tjrglh fh tgjfj hc`jlgf phsgckj y tiophlh

    js ufi tjsgs fhvjehsi. ^iri fh lijr jf jk lhopkj`h ej gfdjrghrgeie rjspjlth i

    kh ifbkhsi`f, cisti lhf lgtir jk lish ejk Ogfgstrh Jspihk Dgbujrhki jf 9=47

    quj, lhoh rjlujrei jk prhdjshr Oirtf Fgh, lhf ufi gftjrprjtilgf rgburhsi ejk

    lhftjfgeh ej ki egbfgeie y ki kgcjrtie ejk gfegvgeuh, qujri suprgogr ki

    dgslikgzilgf brivhsi phr pirtj ej ki Milgjfei shcrj ki iltgvgeie ej khs

    pirtglukirjs. Iftj ki fjljsgeie ej jflhftrir fujvhs gfbrjshs, ufi rjdhroikgcjrik ej khs irifljkjs phei lhftrgcugr i jsj hc`jtgvh ik phtjflgir ki iltgvgeie.

    Iejos, ki geji ej quj i ejrjlmhs os ikths pujejf lhrrjsphfejr ojfhrjs

    gfbrjshs piri jk dgslh mici sgeh rjpjtgei virgis vjljs phr Dkrjz Jstriei jf su

    Lursh ej Jlhfhoi ^hktgli. Uiocgf @uif Tjkirej jf Khs ihs pjregehs fhs

    rjlujrei quj jk ifeikus Icjf`ikef jf jk sgbkh ]GT yi jxpkglici quj khs

    gfbrjshs trgcutirghs sujkjf sjr oiyhrjs luifeh khs tgphs shf ci`hs y kis cisjs

    ouy iopkgis1 y quj luifeh jk ibrglukthr icifehfi ki tgjrri y khs ojrliejrjs

    ej`if sus fjbhlghs jk rjfegogjfth ej khs gopujsths sj ejsvifjlj h sj

    lhfvgjrtj jf pjkgbrhsiojftj ci`h. Jf luikqugjr lish, y rjsuogjfeh, jst lkirh

    quj jk :4 phr lgjfth ej : ogkkhfjs js ojfhr quj jk

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    3.3- Ki tjhri ej kis sgjtj y ojegi

    Jstis jfsjifzis ej kis tjfejflgis gopklgtis jf ki lurvi ej Kiddjr rjdkj`if

    ikbh os prhdufeh quj jst fulkjirojftj gfsjrth jf ki lhfeulti muoifi. Kijlhfhoi pjrshfik j gftjrpjrshfik, y, phr kh tifth, tiocgf khs ojrliehs,

    tgjfjf ufi brif sgogkgtue lhf khs `ujbhs ej ojsi h ik igrj kgcrj, y lhf khs `ujbhs

    ejphrtgvhs. @jss ej Biriy mi jslrgth gflkush uf kgcrh shcrj jk `ujbh ejk

    ojrlieh ehfej milj rjdkjxghfjs iktiojftj gftjrjsiftjs0 jk ojrlieh js uf

    sgstjoi jf jk luik thehs khs pirtglgpiftjs kh shf phrquj kjs ei ki bifi y jf

    ehfej sg fh miy cjfjdglgh piri khs `ubiehrjs y jk pckglh, fh sj `ujbi1

    prhoujvj tiocgf ej oifjri jspjlgik quj thehs sj jfrgqujzlif1 js

    dufeiojftik quj kis rjbkis jstf lkiris piri thehs khs `ubiehrjs y quj thehs

    sj lhoprhojtif i iljptirkis1 sg ki puckglgeie ej kis rjbkis dikti, h sg dikki ki

    gbuikeie jf su ipkglilgf, jfthfljs fh miy kgcjrtie piri rjikgzir khs

    gftjrliocghs, sgfh vghkjflgi phr pirtj ej ikbufis pjrshfis quj ohfhphkgzif jk

    `ujbh1.. jtl. Ejk jftrioieh ej rjbkis ej liei `ujbh egstgfth sj pujejf silir

    jfsjifzis ej mhfeh likieh. Tjiohs jk lish ejk `ujbh ej kis sgjtj y ojegi.

    Lhoh cgjf sicjf ustjejs jf jsj `ujbh ej lirtis bifi qugjf os sj

    iprhxgoj i jsi lgdri obgli tjfgjfeh jf lujfti quj ki shti, jk licikkh y jk rjy

    tgjfjf jk vikhr ej ojegh pufth. Sjpirtgei ufi prgojri lirti i thehs khs

    pirtglgpiftjs, liei ufh vi pgegjfeh os lirtis misti quj sj qujei h sj pisi,

    ej tik dhroi quj lhf uf is sj pujej gflkush bifir, pujsth quj khs ejos, iuf

    jstifeh jf oj`hr phsglgf ej pirtgei fh js egdlgk quj sj pisjf. Ki iocglgf

    jxljsgvi pujej pjrejrfhs qujrgjfeh iklifzir jk ptgoh ej kis sgjtj y ojegi.

    Kis phsgcgkgeiejs ej trgufdir shf isljfejftjs i ojegei quj fhs iljrliohs i

    ki lgoi, pjrh, lhf uf trispgs gopruejftj fhs prjlgpgtiohs jf jk icgsoh ejk

    drilish.

    Fh phlhs prhljshs jlhfoglhs y ejlgsghfjs ej lhfeulti muoifi tgjfjf

    uf pirjlgeh iktiojftj kkioitgvh. ^jfsjohs phr j`jopkh jf jk brieh ej

    gopkiftilgf ejk Jstieh ejk Cgjfjstir. Zf pjqujh lhklmf piri iohrtgbuir kis

    ejsbrilgis ej ki vgei, fiegj, fg sgqugjri jk os uktrikgcjrik ej khs kgcjrikjs, kh

    phfj jf euei. Zf phlh os pujej sjr tiocgf lhfvjfgjftj y sj pujej jxgbgr

    ufi lhftrgculgf trgcutirgi lhiltgvi rizhfickj y prhphrlghfiei jf cisj i kh quj

    vgjfj kkiofehsj, diksiojftj, piz shlgik. ^hejohs sjbugr ilrjljftifeh, pjrh

    jf jstj lish fh sicjohs i lgjflgi lgjrti efej jst jk ptgoh y js dlgk quj

    fhs pisjohs phrquj ki gfjrlgi fhs irristri ufi vjz gfglgieh jk prhljsh. Js

    os, sjburh quj jf Jurhpi y jf Jspii fhs mjohs pisieh y phr jsh js dlgk

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    quj pjreiohs jf jk `ujbh gftjrfilghfik bkhcik. \g fhs pisiohs ej ki riyi

    iuojftif khs piriehs, khs gfvkgehs, khs ejsdivhrjlgehs, khs phcrjs, khs

    oirbgfiehs, khs ifikdicjths, khs ibrglukthrjs ejsvikgehs, khs `hrfikjrhs ejk ^JS

    iftgbuh y fujvh1 khs pjfsghfgstis pgejf liei vjz os1 khs sucvjflghfiehs

    tiocgf jxgbjf os phrquj sus rizhfjs, sjif kis quj dujsjf, sgjoprj shf kis

    os gophrtiftjs y urbjftjs1 thehs pgejf os sifgeie y jeulilgf britugtis,

    os pirqujs pckglhs, os gfdrijstrulturis sgf pibir ipirjftjojftj uf

    eurh1... jtl. Kis dujftjs ej dgfiflgilgf sj jstrjojljf1 ki ejuei iuojfti y

    miy quj pibirki lhopgtgjfeh jf khs ojrliehs ej lipgtikjs lhf tgphs ej gftjrs

    os itriltgvhs piri khs rjftgstis ej iqu, ej ilukk y ej ikkjfej khs oirjs1 ki

    gfglgitgvi pjrshfik y joprjsirgik sj oirlmgti y sj pisi ik htrh cifeh, i khs quj

    lhcrif ej khs ejos. Fiegj irrgoi jk mhocrh. Fhs mjohs pisieh ej kis sgjtj

    y ojegi. Jf ki rjviflmi quj qugzs sj fhs e miy quj tjfjr ki kjllgf cgjf

    iprjfegei y qujeirfhs uf phlh ikj`iehs ejk icgsoh piri trgufdir.

    Ki utgkgeie quj fhs rjphrti jk ush y lhfsuoh ej cgjfjs y sjrvglghs tgjfj

    uf lhophrtiogjfth pirjlgeh0 uf phlh ej vgfh jf kis lhogeis js ouy

    sikueickj, uf vish tiocgf, uf phlh os jopgjzi i sjr pjkgbrhsh1 sg fhs

    pisiohs, ki chrrilmjri tristhrfi thei fujstri iltgvgeie y pjrejohs lhf

    sjburgeie ojrgegifi. Lhoprir uf piribuis phr sg kkujvj, cgjf, ehs tiocgf, tik

    vjz trjs1 pjrh sg fh shohs lhkjllghfgstis piri qu os81 ki utgkgeie oirbgfik

    pujej kkjbir i sjr fjbitgvi1 phejohs pisirfhs. Zf phlh ej sik jf kis lhogeis

    h uf rith ej ejslifsh jf ki tjkjvgsgf, cgjf, uf phlh os qugzs tiocgf, pjrhlhfvgjfj ohejrir y egvjrsgdglir. Gfvjrtgr jf tik h luik vikhr jf ki Chksi h jf jstj

    h iqujk pkif ej pjfsghfjs, cgjf1 gfvjrtgr os im phrquj lhfdgiohs, oj`hr1 pjrh

    lugeieh! fh pisirsj. Lhfvgjfj iphstir skh lhf kh prjslgfegckj, y iejos

    os cgjf phlh, i virghs phsgckjs bifiehrjs quj hcsjsghfirfhs lhf ufh, oj`hr

    egvjrsgdglir. Lhfeulgrithrtubiehs lhf fujstrh lhlmj, oikh, miy quj ivgvir ki

    oirlmi, tiocgf piri fh ohkjstir1 gflkush sg jk isufth kh rjqugjrj phejohs

    iljkjrir, pjrh itjflgf! fh pisirsj, khs jxljshs sj pibif y ki tjhri ej kis

    sgjtj y ojegi fhs kh vujkvj i rjlhreir. Zf phlh ej hrejf, vikj1 uf phlh os

    pujej vikjr1 pjrh ki jfdjrojeie ohfhoifgtgli y pjrdjllghfgsti fhs iojfizi.Jslrgcgr jf Rhre, usir ufi cisj ej eiths, ufi mh`i jkjltrfgli shdgstgliei,

    lhfjltirsj i gftjrfjt vi gfdhvi lhfvgjfj. ^isirsj fhs pujej lhfvjrtgr jf

    ojlifhs ej sgkglgh quj mickif jf cgts, jfbukkjf acytjs, vjf lmgrgcgtis

    jkjltrfglis y, jf jk dhfeh, fh sicjf ej ki vgei fg miljr ki h lhf uf lifuth.

    Jk jdjlth iegllgf i jstj h iqujk hc`jth kh pujej kkjfir theh jxgbgjfeh os y

    os itjflgf, y fjljsgtifeh liei vjz oiyhr vhkuftie piri ejsirrigbirkh y

    egrgbgrkh milgi htrh hc`jth os hkvgeieh. Ljftriehs jf jstj htrh egstgfth quj js

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    fujvh, jk jdjlth iegllgf lhogjfzi i hpjrir htri vjz y phlh iftjs ej kkjbir ik

    uocrik gefjh ljrlifh i kis sgjtj y ojegi ehfej miy pjkgbrh ej jfvglgirsj phr

    jflicjzhfiogjfth lhfvgjfj lhf dkjxgcgkgeie ej vhkuftie gftjkgbjftj cuslir htrh,

    y ejspus htrh, y os tirej htrh quj lhopkjojfti khs iftjrghrjs. ^iri

    oixgogzir jk `usth ojegh sj fjljsgti virgicgkgeie lhopkjojftirgi jf ki ufgeie

    y lgjrth ejsipjbh ej khs cgjfjs y sjrvglghs quj viohs fjljsgtifeh i kh kirbh

    ej ki vgei, dg`ifeh ki itjflgf gftjfsiojftj jf ikbh pjrh lhf ojegei y lhf

    shkturi pjrshfik ejslhfjltifeh lhf ibgkgeie y lhf irtj luifeh kh gftugohs

    lhfvjfgjftj. Sjsuogjfeh0 Gf ojegh vgrtus ejli jk lksglh. Fh oj jxtriiri

    quj Irgsttjkjs mucgjri jslrgth ki Jtgli i Fgloilh `ubifeh i kis sgjtj y ojegi

    jf jk Ijrpibh brgjbh. Iprjfeiohs.

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    3.

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    Jf jk jxtrjoh lhftrirgh ej ki lurvi, jk vikhr ej ki virgickj, ojegei jf jk j`j ej

    hrejfieis, tiocgf sjri ljrh, h qugzs fjbitgvh. Zfi shlgjeie (gflkush oj

    rjpubfi kkioir i jsj "lioph ej lhfljftrilgf" shlgjeie) jf ehfej theh

    jstuvgjsj lhegdglieh, pkifgdglieh y kjbgskieh, misti khs jxtrjohs os fgoghs1

    ehfej jstuvgjsj rjbukieh loh y efej miljr ufi lisi, lufeh jstuegir y

    kjjr, loh vjstgrsj, i qugf lhoprir, qu trici`h miljr, lufeh ejslifsir,

    efej ohrgr y loh, i qugf qujrjr, j gflkush efej y i qu mhri sitgsdiljr

    fujstris fjljsgeiejs cghkbglis egirgis, fh js egdlgk ivjfturir uf brieh ej

    phcrjzi, sucejsirrhkkh ohrik y jlhfoglh h uf fgvjk ej gfdjkglgeie gophrtiftj.

    Jstiriohs ej fujvh jf khs fgvjkjs ljrh h ci`h ljrh ej lhfvgvjflgi.

    I ojegei quj fhs ejspkiziohs ejsej jk pufth ljrh ej fhrois milgi iejkiftj,

    jk fgvjk ej prhbrjsh jf ki lhfvgvjflgi iuojfti. Lgjrtis kjyjs y prgflgpghs

    bjfjrikjs shf fjljsirghs piri jk ejsirrhkkh pjrshfik bjfjrikgzieh y piri jk

    cgjf vgvgr shlgik. Jf jk `ujbh ej ki vgei, sgjoprj shlgik y sgjoprj jlhfoglh, kisrjbkis ejkgogtif khs ocgths ej kgcjrtie ej khs pirtglgpiftjs, kis illghfjs

    pjrogtgeis y lhfvjfgjftjs1 pjrogtjf rjshkvjr sgtuilghfjs lhfdkgltgvis, shf dirhs

    gfdhroitgvhs ej kis phsgckjs lhfeultis i`jfis dilgkgtifeh jk xgth ej fujstris

    prhpgis illghfjs1 dilgkgtif ki gftjrillgf jftrj pjrshfis quj ejsjif lhsis

    lhopkjtiojftj egdjrjftjs, pjrogtgjfeh ki lhhregfilgf gftrishlgik y ouktgshlgik,

    y pujejf phr kh tifth rjsuktir gftjrjsiftjs piri thehs khs pirtglgpiftjs

    phtjflgikjs jf jsi vgtikgeie ej ki shlgjeie icgjrti jf jk hrejf jsphftfjh.

    Ik prgflgpgh, sg vi iuojftifeh jk iljrvh kjbgskitgvh, khs rjsuktiehs jf trogfhsej lhfvgvjflgi tiocgf iuojftif. ^jrh phlh i phlh jk isljfsh jf kis

    vjfti`is ejk gflrjojfth ej ki fhroitgvi sj milj os prjoghsh, lrjlj, pjrh

    liei vjz os kjftiojftj misti iklifzir uf oxgoh, uf ptgoh. ^jrh jfthfljs

    jk "jdjlth curhlrilgi" y jk "jdjlth egltieuri", iufquj sji ejohlrtgliojftj

    oiyhrgtirgi, jopgjzif i j`jrljr su gfdkujflgi fjdisti0 kis pbgfis ejk CHJ sj

    ouktgpkglif1 khs curlritis rjsphfsickjs ej liei ejpirtiojfth y

    sucejpirtiojfth ogfgstjrgik qugjrjf vifgehsiojftj prhtibhfgzir ki vgei

    lgueieifi1 kis curhlrilgis y khs oifeitirghs iuthfoglhs fh qugjrjf qujeirsj

    itrs y sj iprujcif fuojrhsis fhrois quj gftrheuljf os irjfi jf khs

    jftrjsg`hs ej ki egfogli shlgik quj liei vjz tjoj os sikgrsj ej ki fhroi quj

    iuojfti jf lhfdusgf1 khs iyuftiogjfths tiophlh qugjrjf qujeirsj

    ejslhkbiehs y jfirchkif ki cifejri ejk khlikgsoh drjftj i ki rjbgf h filgf.

    Jk isufth sj lhopkgli if os luifeh ipirjljf khs jurlritis ej Crusjkis

    qujrgjfeh lhftrhkir, `uzbir y egltiogfir lisg theh jf iris ej ki "pkifgdglilgf"

    ejk ojrlieh fglh. Jstiohs yi ljrlifhs ik jxtrjoh hpujsth. Kkjbiehs i ki

    lgoi fhs prjlgpgtiohs i brif vjkhlgeie phr ki pjfegjftj fjbitgvi ej ki lurvi y,

    sg fh rjltgdgliohs lhf ripgejz, jk listiizh lhftri jk pufth ljrh ejk j`j ej

    hrejfieis pujej sjr tiocgf mgstrglh. Jk fujvh jdjlth pjrvjrsh sj oitjrgikgzi

    egirgiojftj lisg sgf eirfhs lujfti.

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    Js dlgk jxtrijr ki ohrikj`i ej ki lurvi ej Driflm-Kiddjr kjbgskitgvi0 fh lhfvgjfj

    pisirsj ej ki riyi, js oj`hr qujeirsj uf phlh ikj`iehs ejk oxgoh piri jstir

    jf oj`hrjs lhfeglghfjs. Kh phejohs ejlgr lhf pikicris ej Kjhfireh ei Tgflg

    jf ufi ej sus dcukis0 "Ki iocglgf quj fh ejschrei khs `usths kogtjs, js

    khickj1 luifeh khs trispisi, rjprjfsgckj."

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    3.5.- Ej ki lukturi ejk sucsgegh i ki ejk prstioh shlgik

    Khs prhckjois filghfikjs fh shf ouy egdjrjftjs ej khs rjbghfikjs fg ej

    khs joprjsirgikjs. Jsths i su vjz fh egdgjrjf oulmh ej khs micgtuikjs

    prhckjois y lujstghfjs jlhfoglis quj sj pkiftjif lhtgegifiojftj i kis

    diogkgis h jlhfhois ehostglis. Ki egdjrjflgi sj sucsifi sjflgkkiojftj

    iiegjfeh suljsgvhs ljrhs i kis lgdris ej ki sgtuilgf jlhfoglh-dgfiflgjri

    diogkgir.

    Luifeh og mg`h oiyhr tjfi 9> ihs fh jri lhfslgjftj, brilgis i Eghs,

    ejk jfejueiogjfth jlhfoglh quj itrivjsciohs. Ik prgflgpgh ej iqujk

    vjrifh pkiftj ik lhfsj`h diogkgir ki pjrjfthrgi fjljsgeie ej lhoprir ufi

    cglglkjti ej ohftii !y lhf oirlmis. Mici silieh ufis cujfis

    likgdglilghfjs, jopjzicif kis vililghfjs y su rizhfiogjfth pirjli kbglh.

    ^jrh fh jstici ki sgtuilgf piri jshs egspjfeghs. Uris ireuis ejkgcjrilghfjs

    kkjbiohs i uf "pilth shlgik" diogkgir. Lhopririohs ki cglglkjti pjrh ki

    egdjrjflgi ej prjlgh jftrj ki quj qujri y ufi fhroikgti ej kis ej sgjoprj, ki

    pibiri k lhf su trici`h vjrifgjbh. \j kj prjstici jk egfjrh pjrh tjfi quj

    ejvhkvjrkh iufquj dujsj sgf gftjrjsjs. Fh skh lhfsgbug kh quj k pjfsici quj

    fjljsgtici sgfh quj, iejos, trici` lhoh uf currh jshs ojsjs y ki fujvicglglkjti kj mi sjrvgeh piri gflrjojftir ki prheultgvgeie ej sus tirjis

    vjrifgjbis ik sjrvglgh ej vjlgfhs y diogkgirjs.

    Ipkgqujohs ki iflehti i ki brif diogkgi ejk Jstieh iiegjfeh htri

    curriei ej ljrhs i kis lgdris y utgkgzifeh theis kis tlfglis jlhfoglh-

    dgfiflgjris pckglis y prgvieis quj tifths jxpjrths luikgdgliehs pherif phfjr

    jf oirlmi sg jxgstgjsj vhkuftie phktgli piri kkjvirki i lich. Jstiohs phr

    jflgoi ej khs : ogkkhfjs ej piriehs y sjbf ki Jflujsti ej ^hckilgf Iltgviufhs bisths phr ejsjopkjh quj supjrif khs 3 cgkkhfjs ej kis iftgbuis ptis.

    Miy yi ojfhs ej ehs trici`iehrjs phr liei pjfsghfgsti. Ki rjliueilgf skh

    pujej iuojftir milgjfeh lish i Kiddjr y ci`ifeh khs gopujsths i ki lkisj

    ojegi. \g iuojftiohs phr jk lhftrirgh khs gopujsths sj rjliueir ojfhs

    phrquj iuojftir jk driuej y jk iuthjxgkgh ej lipgtikjs. Jsti js "brhssh oheh"

    ki trgstj sgtuilgf.

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    Lhfvgjfj vhkvjr i rjsiktir jk pipjk quj kis jlhfhois ehostglis, lhoh

    ufgeiejs csglis jf kis quj sj lhopkjojftif khs egstgfths rjlurshs dsglhs,

    dgfiflgjrhs y muoifhs, tgjfjf jf jk `ujbh jlhfoglh. Kis brifejs ejlgsghfjs

    joprjsirgikjs shf thoieis phr khs prhpgjtirghs ej jsis joprjsis jstgoukiehs

    phr jk hc`jtgvh sikueickj ej silir jk oxgoh rjfegogjfth i ki pirtj ej su

    pitrgohfgh gfvjrtgeh jf jkkis. Os quj uf dku`h lgrlukir, ki iltgvgeie ojrliftgk sj

    jstrulturi jf ufi rje ej gftjrliocghs jftrj pitrgohfghs cuslifeh jk

    gflrjojfth ej vikhr piri thehs khs ilthrjs phr vi ej oiyhr

    lhopkjojftirgjeie. Zfgeh i jsth mj gfsgstgeh tiocgf jf quj ispgrir i kh

    oj`hr, i ki csqujei ejk oxgoh cjfjdglgh, ik jsdujrzh phr gflrjojftir jk vikhr

    jlhfoglh jftjfegeh lhoh iljrliogjfth oiyhr ej khs cgjfjs oitjrgikjs i khs

    hc`jtgvhs muoifhs, fh skh fh js lhfejfickj sgfh rjlhojfeickj j gflkush ufi

    hckgbilgf i ki quj fiegj ejcjri sustrijrsj jf ki ojegei ej sus phsgcgkgeiejs.

    Ej jsths ehs prgflgpghs sj pujej ejrgvir kh icsureh quj pujej rjsuktir

    listgbir, jf vjz ej jstgoukir, jk jsdujrzh phsgtgvh y jxgthsh ej lhfsjbugr jk

    oxgoh cjfjdglgh phsgckj sgf siktirsj kis rjbkis tglis y kjbikjs ejk `ujbh.

    Luifeh briviohs ki rjfti jstiohs pjfifeh prjlgsiojftj i iqujkkhs quj os

    lhftrgcuyjf ik lrjlgogjfth jlhfoglh phrquj silif jk oxgoh rjfegogjfth i

    sus rjlurshs. Kis pjrshfis quj tgjfjf quj thoir kis ejlgsghfjs jlhfoglis

    rjkjviftjs sj sgjftjf rjtrieis jf su idf (phsgtgvh) ej lhfsjbugr oj`hrjs

    rjsuktiehs. \g ej kh quj bifh ufi pirtj lrjlgjftj ilici jf oifhs ejk jrirgh

    pckglh pujej fh gftjrjsiroj rjikojftj oj`hrir rjsuktiehs.

    Yu hlurrj sg jf vjz ej ki rjfti briviohs khs cgjfjs rjikjs, dsglhs, ej

    kis egstgftis ufgeiejs ej ejlgsgf8 Ki lhfsjlujflgi os rjkjviftj, quj

    sikti i prgojri vgsti, js quj sj prheulgri ufi rjegstrgculgf ej rjlurshs

    oitjrgikjs jf theh jk lhf`ufth ej ki jlhfhoi, ej dhroi tik, quj liei cgjf rjik

    tjfejri i jstir gftjbrieh jf iqujk lhf`ufth pitrgohfgik quj os rjfegogjfth,

    jf trogfhs ej vikhr prheu`jsj. \g tjfbh trjs dgflis, ufi ej kis luikjs ki tjfbh

    sgf jxpkhtir, y tjfbh quj pibir phr jkki uf gopujsth rjik, tifth sg ki jxpkhthlhoh sg fh, kh kbglh js quj ilicj vjfegfehki. \kh ki lhoprir iquk quj

    lhfsgejrj quj kj pujej silir uf oiyhr rjfegogjfth jf trogfhs ej vikhr. Eiei

    ki dujrzi quj, lhf rjspjlth ik vikhr, tgjfj ki lhopkjojftirgjeie mhrgzhftik y

    vjrtglik jftrj khs egdjrjftjs rjlurshs, sj pujej gftugr ki trisljfejflgi quj jsti

    ojegei, crjvjojftj jxprjsiei, pheri tjfjr shcrj ki iltgvgeie jlhfogli

    bjfjrik, tifth jf luifth i vikhrjs ej liocgh lhoh jspjlgikojftj i khs vikhrjs

    ej ush. \j prheulgri uf jstoukh oiyhr i silir jk oxgoh pirtgeh i kh quj sj

    phsjj. \j ipkgliri os ki ojftj i cuslir gfglgitgvis lrjitgvis piri, tjfgjfeh

    kh ofgoh goprjslgfegckj jf cgjfjs dsglhs, silirkj jk oxgoh rjfegogjfth. \j

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    jvgtiri lhf jsi iltgtue ki prhkgdjrilgf ej gfvjrsghfjs goprheultgvis quj jstf

    jf ki riz ej tiftis rjljsghfjs. Kis gfvjrsghfjs pitrgohfgikjs, jqugvhlieis y

    iftgjlhfoglis shf jk hrgbjf ej khs ejsjqugkgcrghs jf khs lglkhs ej lrjlgogjfth

    y rjljsgf.

    Jstj prgojr irbuojfth ej jstoukh i lhfsjbugr jk oxgoh cjfjdglgh ej

    khs cgjfjs oitjrgikjs yi cistiri, phr s shkh, piri pkiftjirsj jf sjrgh ki

    lujstgf. ^jrh jxgstj htri ejeullgf fh ojfhs ejsejickj. Jk lipgtik muoifh

    sj milj liei vjz os prhtibhfgsti jf ki liusilgf ejk vikhr. \g stj kh

    jftjfejohs lhoh muoifgzilgf ej ki oitjrgi, ki brif rgqujzi jslhfegei

    lhoh phtjflgi pisgvi jf ki oitjrgi, skh sj pujej jxtrijr ojegiftj ki

    iltuilgf ejk trici`h quj ki muoifgzi. Luifeh briviohs khs cgjfjs rjikjs

    jstiohs jstgoukifeh ki iljkjrilgf ej jsj prhljsh ej muoifgzilgf ej ki

    oitjrgi. Jk lipgtik muoifh sikeri cjfjdglgieh jf ki rjkilgf lipgtik dsglh-

    lipgtik muoifh. Ik brivir oulmh ojfhs kis rjftis, khs gfbrjshs pjrlgcgehs phr

    jk trici`h fh sudrgrif ojfhslich. \j phei iljkjrir jk ejspkiziogjfth milgi

    kis gfvjrsghfjs jf lipgtik muoifh ej kis joprjsis y rjpjrlutgri shcrj jk

    jopkjh ik sjr ojfhs brivhsi, jf prhphrlgf i ki gfvjrsgf dsgli, ki

    gflhrphrilgf ej rjlurshs muoifhs.

    \hy lhfslgjftj quj jsti phktgli gophsgtgvi quj, rjlhfhzlh, tgjfj oitgljs

    ej rjvhkulgf shlghjlhfogli, rjpjrlutgri jf uf iuojfth ejk lhfsuoh. ^jrh

    jsti tjfejflgi fh rjsukti fjljsirgiojftj fjbitgvi jf ki liusilgf ejk vikhr.

    \j pujej gftrheulgr iqu ki lhfsgejrilgf ej khs cgjfjs ej lhfsuoh lhoh

    cgjfjs gftjrojeghs, js ejlgr, lhoh cgjfjs ej gfvjrsgf jf lipgtik muoifh, sg

    jsj lhfsuoh kh miljohs prheultgvh. \g jk ejspkiziogjfth milgi jk lhfsuoh

    fh js uf ejspkiziogjfth milgi jk lhfsuoh mjehfgsti, goprheultgvh y

    jophcrjljehr quj ejstruyj vikhr, sgfh quj sj gflkgfi milgi jk prheultgvh, quj

    ogri milgi ki oj`hri jf ki iltgvgeie duturi, pujej sjr iktiojftj phsgtgvh. Uifth

    ki likgeie ejk trici`h muoifh lhoh ki kkioiei likgeie ej vgei, tjfejrif i

    iuojftir.

    Kis vjfti`is phsgckjs ej tikjs ojegeis pujejf sjr tif gophrtiftjs quj

    fh ejcjrif irrgflhfirsj sgf os lhoh uthpis diftstglis ej gophsgckj

    pkisoilgf jf ki rjikgeie shlgik. Ki ipkglilgf prltgli rjqujrgri ohejrilgf y

    lhopibgfir thehs khs rjshrtjs ejk sgstjoi gophsgtgvh, pjrh fh miy quj hkvgeir

    fufli jsti phtjflgi jstgoukiftj quj ki hptgogzilgf ejk sgstjoi gophsgtgvh

    tgjfj lhf rjspjlth ik lrjlgogjfth jlhfoglh.

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    Zfi oitgzilgf ieglghfik. Jsths lrgtjrghs bjfjrikjs ejk vikhr shf

    ipkglickjs tiocgf i khs hrbifgsohs pckglhs. Jk Jstieh fh sj pujej brivir i

    s ogsoh, pjrh s ejcjri pkiftjirsj ki rjfticgkgeie quj prheuljf khs cgjfjs

    oitjrgikjs quj jstf ci`h su `urgsegllgf. \gbugjfeh ki ogsoi kbgli, jk Jstiehejcjri ejsmiljrsj ej iqujkkhs cgjfjs dsglhs, rjikjs, pitrgohfgikjs quj jk

    sjlthr prgvieh mibi rjfegr lhf oiyhr jdglilgi. Ki prhpgjeie pckgli js ufi

    prhpgjeie ejkjbiei ej khs pirtglukirjs.

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    2 ej ki Lhfstgtulgf Jspihki ejk 2= prhlkioi quj Khs

    phejrjs pckglhs biriftgzirf, ojegiftj pjfsghfjs iejluieis y

    pjrgegliojftj iltuikgzieis, ki sudglgjflgi jlhfogli i khs lgueieifhs

    euriftj ki tjrljri jeie" Yugjrh rjvjstgroj ej ufi ehsgs gophrtiftj ejgfbjfugeie piri suphfjr quj jk ilujreh dgroieh ejk ^ilth ej Uhkjeh lhfsgbi

    eir shkulgf prltgli rjik y ejdgfgtgvi i jstj prjljpth lhfstgtulghfik. Kis

    ejlkirilghfjs ej cujfis gftjflghfjs ohf`gkjs sj suljegjrhf jfthfljs jf

    lisliei ejoibbgli gfusgtiei phr iocis pirtjs. Jk ilujreh suslrgth sgf

    ifujflgi ej khs joprjsirghs jri, sjbf jkkhs, piri sitgsdiljr y trifqugkgzir i

    theh jk lhf`ufth ej ki shlgjeie jspihki trifsogtgfehkj lhfdgifzi jf jk duturh.

    Kis pjfsghfjs ej`icif ej sjr uf irbuojfth jkjlthrikgsti quj bjfjrici

    gfjsticgkgeie h ogjeh y ki dgroi suphfi jk gfglgh ej uf fujvh liogfh jf jk quj

    sj eirif biriftis i khs iltuikjs pjfsghfgstis y sj tjfi ouy jf lujfti iqugjfjs jf jk duturh ej`jf ki vgei iltgvi. Jf ejdgfgtgvi quj thehs sjrjohs i

    pirtgr ej imhri djkgljs y lhojrjohs pjregljs.

    ^jrh ki fiturikjzi muoifi tgjfj sus kjyjs ouktgsjlukirjs quj vgjfjf

    sgjfeh csgliojftj kis ogsois milj luitrh ogk ihs jf Jbgpth h jf Cicgkhfgi1

    milj ehs ogk jf jk Gopjrgh Shoifh h jf kis trgcus ej ki gski mhy kkioiei

    Oieibislir1 milj qugfgjfths ihs jftrj kis ioizhfis ejk Lirgcj1 h,

    iltuikojftj, jf ki Gfegi, Lhrji, Tjfjzujki, Zlrifgi, \jcisthphk, Cjrkf h

    Ikojferikj`h. ^rjlgsiojftj phr jsh ki jlhfhoi, ki oikegti jlhfhoi, tgjfj

    tiocgf sus kjyjs ouktgsjlukirjs y ouktgjspilgikjs quj fh egdgjrjf oulmh, oscgjf fiei, ej kis kjyjs ej ki lhfeulti muoifi quj ilicif gophfgfehsj,

    lhftri jk vgjfth ej ki ejoibhbgi h ki oirji ej kis ejlkirilghfjs

    cgjfgftjflghfieis, lhf ki licjzhfjri prhpgi ejk sjr muoifh tik luik js ejsej

    quj duj jxpuksieh ejk pirish phr uf ejskgz prhvhlieh quj ilic jf uf

    itjftieh lhftri jk ejrjlmh egvgfh ej prhpgjeie. Jk diohsh Ilujreh ejk ^ilth

    ej Uhkjeh, lhf sus rjdhrois, triti ej phfjr pirlmjs y lhsturis piri quj

    pjroifjzli, phr khs sgbkhs ej khs sgbkhs, jk sgstjoi ej rjpirth piri ki

    dgfiflgilgf ej kis pjfsghfjs. ^hr qu jsi hcljlilgf jf jk sgstjoi ej

    rjpirth sg thehs khs jstueghs rjikgziehs ljrtgdglif quj i os h ojfhs pkizh jsjsgstjoi qugjcri y, phr kh tifth, khs phejrjs pckglhs phr jsi vi fh pherf

    biriftgzir pjfsghfjs iejluieis y pjrgegliojftj iltuikgzieis, fg sudglgjflgi

    jlhfogli i khs lgueieifhs euriftj ki tjrljri y luirti jeie8

    Ki ejdglgjflgi os brivj y sustiflgik ej thehs, rjpgth, thehs khs sgstjois

    ej rjpirth, jf ehfej ufhs lhcrif ogjftris quj htrhs dgfiflgif kh quj lhcrif

    khs prgojrhs, fh js ufi lujstgf tlfgli sgfh ej gfljftgvhs y rjbkis ej

    lhfeulti muoifi jftrhfliei lhf ki dgkhshdi ej ki vgei. Jf uf egsjh ejk

    sgstjoi ehfej ufhs pibif y htrhs lhcrif tjfgjfeh i khs phejrjs pckglhs

    phkgtgziehs phr gftjrojegirghs, thehs y liei ufh gfbjfgirf ogk y ufi trgqugujki

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    piri iphrtir kh ojfhs phsgckj ik sgstjoi luifeh kjs thquj lhtgzir y

    iprhvjlmirsj kh os phsgckj luifeh kjs lhrrjsphfej lhcrir. Iufquj sj dgrojf

    trjgfti y trjs ^ilths ej Uhkjeh phr theis kis dujrzis phktglis rjprjsjftitgvis,

    thehs sjbugrf pgegjfeh os ejrjlmhs irrgoifeh jk islui i su siregfi y

    ogrifeh luliojftj i htri pirtj i ki mhri ej lhftrgcugr y luopkgr khs ejcjrjs

    quj shf khs quj isjburif iqujkkhs ejrjlmhs.

    Jk sgstjoi ej rjpirth jf Jspii skh mi lhfsjbugeh oiftjfjr jk tgph phr

    ki ofgoi jf khs ktgohs ihs ejcgeh ik oiyhr iphrtj jstitik y ik gflrjojfth

    sgbfgdglitgvh quj mif rjbgstrieh kis lhftrgculghfjs lhrrjsphfegjftjs i khs

    trici`iehrjs iltgvhs quj mif sudrgeh jf sus lirfjs oiyhrjs tisis ej

    lhtgzilgf i ki sjburgeie shlgik y lrjlgogjfth ej sikirghs quj sj trieuljf,

    kbgliojftj, jf uf gfljftgvh ik pirh y ufi cirrjri sgbfgdglitgviojftj

    gophrtiftj ik jopkjh. \j mi kkjbieh i uf pufth jf quj js gophsgckj sjbugr

    sucgjfeh kis lhtgzilghfjs fg fhogfik, fg rjikojftj. Ki lhflrjlgf ej kisojegeis ejk ^ilth ej Uhkjeh jf oirlmi fh js quj sjif lhfvjfgjftjs y

    fjljsirgis sgfh quj shf osliris ej hxbjfh piri ipkglir urbjftjojftj

    phrquj ej kh lhftrirgh jk jfdjroh sj fhs vi. Ki sjpirilgf ej kis dujftjs quj

    dgfiflgif ki sifgeie, kis pjfsghfjs lhftrgcutgvis y kis fh lhftrgcutgvis1 ki

    iopkgilgf ej khs pkizhs ej lhtgzilgf piri tjfjr ejrjlmh i ejtjrogfieis

    pjfsghfjs1 ki lrjilgf ej uf dhfeh ej rjsjrvi1 ki prhohlgf ejk rjtrish

    vhkuftirgh ej ki `ucgkilgf... jtl. jtl. fh shf ois quj tritiogjfths ej lmhquj

    urbjftjs quj fh shkulghfif jk prhckjoi sgfh quj kh ejohrif.

    Os tirej h os tjoprifh sj tjfer quj ilhojtjr lhf vikjfti kitrifsglgf i uf sgstjoi ej lipgtikgzilgf, iufquj sji pckglh, quj

    jdjltgviojftj biriftglj kis pjfsghfjs. Jf jshs sgstjois sj luopkj i ki

    pjrdjllgf jk gejik lksglh ej `ustglgi quj lhfsgstj jf "eir i liei ufh kh suyh".

    Kis iphrtilghfjs pjrshfikjs ej liei trici`iehr sj vif iltuikgzifeh, iufquj

    sji ik tgph ej gftjrs i kirbh pkizh ej ki Ejuei, y rjlgcgrf ik dgfik ej su vgei

    iltgvi fg os fg ojfhs quj su trici`h imhrrieh. \j ejsgfljftgvif is jk driuej

    y ki trgqugujki1 sj dhojfti jk trici`h, jk imhrrh, ki gfvjrsgf y jk jopkjh1

    iuojfti ki kgcjrtie y ki lipilgeie ej egsphsglgf shcrj kh prhpgh1 pjrogtj

    hrbifgzir ki vgei jf uf oirlh jstickj quj fh ejpjfej ej khs ejos1 pujejgflkush jkjvir kis pjfsghfjs1 oj`hri ki prheultgvgeie ejk lipgtik y, lhsi

    gophrtiftj, ejsphkgtgzi fhtickjojftj jk sgstjoi.

    Uheis kis ojegeis tlfglis y kjbgskitgvis quj sj hrgjftjf jf jsti

    egrjllgf shf kis quj jdjltgviojftj isjburirf jk sgstjoi pckglh ej

    pjfsghfjs y phtjflgirf jk ejsirrhkkh jlhfoglh. \j pher miljr rjikgeie is,

    fh skh kh gfeglieh jf jsj irtlukh :> ej ki Lhfstgtulgf sgfh tiocgf kh jslrgth

    jf jk irtlukh 590 Khs phejrjs pckglhs oiftjferf uf rbgojf pckglh ej

    \jburgeie \hlgik piri thehs khs lgueieifhs quj biriftglj ki isgstjflgi y

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  • 7/22/2019 Crisis econmicas y financieras. Causas profundas y soluciones. Captulo 2.

    22/22

    2:

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