11 generacion dedfg caudales metodos probabilisticos
DESCRIPTION
dfgdfTRANSCRIPT
ESTACION DE PACHACHACA
N AÑO Q m3/sg (Qi- Qm)1 2009 3.17 0.142 2008 2.88 0.013 2007 3.17 0.144 2006 2.60 0.045 2005 2.49 0.09 Qm = 2.80 m3/seg6 2004 2.98 0.037 2003 3.06 0.078 2002 2.54 0.079 2001 1.66 1.29
10 2000 3.05 0.0611 1999 2.71 0.0112 1998 2.97 0.03 Qm = 0.42 m3/seg13 1997 3.16 0.1314 1996 3.35 0.31 N Yn Sn15 1995 3.54 0.55 20 0.52355 1.0628316 1994 2.71 0.01 50 0.54854 1.1606617 1993 2.57 0.05 100 0.56002 1.2064918 1992 2.40 0.1619 1991 2.37 0.1820 1990 2.90 0.0121 1989 2.47 0.11
2.80 0.42
Qmax = Qm - (Sq/Sn)(Yn-ln T)50 Qmax = 4.142 m3/seg
100 Qmax = 4.417 m3/seg
Calculo de AQ
O = 1 - 1/T
O50 = 0.98O100 = 0.99
AQ = 0.452 m3/seg
Calculo de caudales de diseño:
50 Qd = 4.595 m3/seg
50 Qd = 3.690 m3/seg
100 Qd = 4.870 m3/seg
100 Qd = 3.965 m3/seg
METODO DE GUMBEL
N
QQm
1
22
N
QmNQiQ
N
14.1
ESTACION DE PACHACHACA
ESTACION PACHACHACA
AÑO QQ/Qm-1 (Q/Qm-1)2 (Q/Qm-1)31 2009 3.17 0.133106383 0.01771730919 0.002358286942 2008 2.88 0.0294468085 0.00086711453 2.55337556E-053 2007 3.17 0.133106383 0.01771730919 0.002358286944 2006 2.60 -0.0706382979 0.00498976913 -0.00035246885 2005 2.49 -0.1099574468 0.01209064011 -0.001329455926 2004 2.98 0.0651914894 0.00424993029 0.000277059287 2003 3.06 0.093787234 0.00879604527 0.000824956768 2002 2.54 -0.0920851064 0.00847966682 -0.000780851029 2001 1.66 -0.4066382979 0.1653547053 -0.06723955591
10 2000 3.05 0.090212766 0.00813834314 0.0007341824511 1999 2.71 -0.0313191489 0.00098088909 -3.0720612E-0512 1998 2.97 0.0616170213 0.00379665731 0.0002339387113 1997 3.16 0.1295319149 0.01677851698 0.0021733534314 1996 3.35 0.1974468085 0.03898524219 0.0076975116515 1995 3.54 0.2653617021 0.07041683296 0.0186859306516 1994 2.71 -0.0313191489 0.00098088909 -3.0720612E-0517 1993 2.57 -0.0813617021 0.00661972657 -0.0005385922218 1992 2.40 -0.1421276596 0.02020027162 -0.0028710173319 1991 2.37 -0.1528510638 0.02336344771 -0.0035711278420 1990 2.90 0.0365957447 0.00133924853 4.90107972E-0521 1989 2.47 -0.117106383 0.01371390493 -0.0016059858
TOTAL 58.75 0.44557645994 -0.04293244468
OBTENCION DE Qm
Qm= 2.80
CALCULOS:
CALCULO DEL COEFICIENTE DE VARIACION
Cv= 0.1492609225
COEFICIENTE DE ASIMETRIA
Cs= -0.645531231
CONSIDERANDO QUE LA AVENIDA SE PRODUCE POR UNA TORMENTA
Cs= 0.4477827676
OBTENCION DEL COEFICIENTE K
METODO DE LEBEDIEV
ESTACION PACHACHACA
PARA PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 50 AÑOS
P= 1/50 2.00%
K= 2.26 SEGÚN LA TABLA 6.17
PARA PERIODO DE RETORNO DE 100 AÑOS
P= 1/100 1.00%
K= 2.61 SEGÚN LA TABLA 6.17
CALCULO DE Er
para 50 años Er= 0.2 según grafico 6.3
para 100 años Er= 0.22
CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO
para t=50 añosQmax= 3.7413389995
para t=100 añosQmax= 3.8874903195
maximos:
con un intervalo de confianza Qd50años= 3.88para 50 años Qd100años= 4.05
DQ= 0.1422201016para 100años minimos
DQ= 0.1625533519 Qd50años= 3.60Qd100años= 3.72
ESTACION PACHACHACA
ESTACION COMAS
1ro N Q m3/sg T T/(T-1) X Q*X Q2 X21 3.17 22.000 1.048 -1.69457584 -5.3718054 10.0489 2.871587272 2.88 11.000 1.100 -1.3830764 -3.98326003 8.2944 1.912900333 3.17 7.333 1.158 -1.19607143 -3.79154642 10.0489 1.430586864 2.60 5.500 1.222 -1.05973173 -2.75530251 6.76 1.123031355 2.49 4.400 1.294 -0.95088374 -2.36770051 6.2001 0.904179896 2.98 3.667 1.375 -0.85916935 -2.56032465 8.8804 0.738171977 3.06 3.143 1.467 -0.7790257 -2.38381864 9.3636 0.606881048 2.54 2.750 1.571 -0.70709155 -1.79601253 6.4516 0.499978469 1.66 2.444 1.692 -0.64115309 -1.06431412 2.7556 0.41107728
10 3.05 2.200 1.833 -0.57964575 -1.76791954 9.3025 0.335989211 2.71 2.000 2.000 -0.52139023 -1.41296752 7.3441 0.2718477712 2.97 1.833 2.200 -0.46543748 -1.38234931 8.8209 0.2166320413 3.16 1.692 2.444 -0.41096665 -1.29865462 9.9856 0.1688935914 3.35 1.571 2.750 -0.35720648 -1.1966417 11.2225 0.1275964715 3.54 1.467 3.143 -0.30336002 -1.07389448 12.5316 0.092027316 2.71 1.375 3.667 -0.24851194 -0.67346735 7.3441 0.0617581817 2.57 1.294 4.400 -0.19148339 -0.49211231 6.6049 0.0366658918 2.40 1.222 5.500 -0.13055548 -0.31333314 5.76 0.0170447319 2.37 1.158 7.333 -0.06283258 -0.14891322 5.6169 0.0039479320 2.90 1.100 11.000 0.017614523 0.051082116 8.41 0.0003102721 2.47 1.048 22.000 0.127889281 0.315886524 6.1009 0.01635567
TOTAL 58.750 80.198 1.013 -12.525 -35.783 168 11.831
CALCULO DE Qm y Xm
2do Qm 2.798Xm -0.596
CALCULO DE LOS PARAMETROS a y b
3ro b -0.171a 2.696
4to CALCULO DEL CAUDAL MAXIMO
T 50 100Qmax 3.047 3.099
5to CALCULO DE LAS DESVIACIONES ESTANDAR Y VARIANZA
Sxx 91.589
METODO DE NASH
ESTACION COMAS
Sqq 73.235
Sxq -15.630809
6to CALCULO DEL INTERVALO DE CONFIANZA
Para T 50 100X -2.06 -2.36
∆Q 0.308 0.367
7to CALCULO DEL CAUDAL DE DISEÑO
T 50 100
Qd 3.355 3.465
ESTACION COMAS
ESTACION COMAS