01 varianza y riesgo en el cumplimiento de la entrega de un proyecto

2
Activity Analysis for Probabilidades 7/6/2010 Activity On Critic Activity Earliest Earliest Latest 10:57:40 Name Path Mean Time Start Finish Start 1A Yes 3.1667 0 3.1667 0 2B Yes 3.1667 3.1667 6.3333 3.1667 3C no 2 3.1667 5.1667 8.1667 4D no 4.1667 6.3333 10.5 10.1667 5E Yes 7 6.3333 13.3333 6.3333 6F no 2.1667 5.1667 7.3333 12.1667 7G Yes 1 13.3333 14.3333 13.3333 8H Yes 5 14.3333 19.3333 14.3333 9I no 7.3333 7.3333 14.6667 15 10 J no 3 14.6667 17.6667 22.3333 11 K Yes 6 19.3333 25.3333 19.3333 Project Completio Time = 25.33 días Number of Critical Path(s) = 1 Tiempo promedio 25.33 Varianza del tiempo 2.388878 Desv. Estándar 1.545599 P(T<35)=? 28 Riesgo de incumplimiento

Upload: ebenitez94

Post on 25-Sep-2015

217 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

V

TRANSCRIPT

Sheet1Activity Analysis for Probabilidades7/6/10ActivityOn CriticalActivityEarliestEarliestLatestLatestSlackActivity TimeStandard10:57:40NamePathMean TimeStartFinishStartFinish(LS-ES)DistributionDeviationVarianza1AYes3.166703.166703.166703-Time estimate0.83330.694388892BYes3.16673.16676.33333.16676.333303-Time estimate0.50.253Cno23.16675.16678.166710.166753-Time estimate4Dno4.16676.333310.510.166714.33333.83333-Time estimate5EYes76.333313.33336.333313.333303-Time estimate116Fno2.16675.16677.333312.166714.333373-Time estimate7GYes113.333314.333313.333314.333303-Time estimate008HYes514.333319.333314.333319.333303-Time estimate009Ino7.33337.333314.66671522.33337.66673-Time estimate10Jno314.666717.666722.333325.33337.66673-Time estimate11KYes619.333325.333319.333325.333303-Time estimate0.66670.44448889ProjectCompletionTime=25.33dasNumber ofCriticalPath(s)=1Tiempo promedio25.33dasVarianza del tiempo2.38887778das^2Desv. Estndar1.5455994889dasP(T